XaiJu
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- July 2019 - MID MONTH UPDATES

Waves of new Magic products continue to hit the magic market every 30 days. This appears to be continuing through the rest of the year. While i do see a lot of wallet fatigue, the overall economy and strength of the magic market is extremely healthy. I am very surprised by this, i honestly expected the economy to experience a slow down and wallet fatigue to slow the "hype/growth" of new mtg products. 

This does NOT appear to be the case. Hasbro is leveraging the mtg brand for digital and the new Netflix show to bring players to the game vs. relying on the LGS business model from the 90's. I think this is the correct and smart move for the company into the future. I believe rising prices and higher MSRP for ALL printed cards is going to continue as we move into a "flashy" magic card future with "premium/rare variants" of cards.


Commander 2019 will be sold at release date - August 23rd 2019 - Pre-orders will open about 10 days before that with a 24 hour warning. Still waiting on quantity and pricing from distributors.


A lot of hype is already building for the October 4th 2019 release of Throne of Eldraine

Wizards has decided to discontinue the "mythic TIMMY box" for obvious reasons and problems. They will be launching a "collectors" booster box along side the normal booster boxes at release. They are going to contain 12 booster packs of "super/premium/varient" versions of cards for a very EXPENSIVE price. I am expecting the open market to price these at $210.00 at release and distributors to sell them to stores at around $175-$185 per small special box. So far i am getting word that distributors are only offering me about 18 "collectors" boxes. 

Therefore i will NOT be offering this item to the patrons. If i can get a couple hundred from other sources/stores then i might be able to sell some, but i do not think that is going to happen.


I do NOT recommend buying into the hype as we approach release, nor "investing" in this new flashy card era of magic products. This is a similar direction as the sports card world has gone, releasing flashy limited versions of the same cards. Im sure they will be beautiful and collectible but i do NOT consider them investments for magic players.

I do believe distributing these items with LGS's and distributors is the correct thing to do vs. direct to consumer website/ebay selling. Even if stores only get a couple each, it is a nice "thank you" product that LGS's can actually make easy money on, and most of these stores around the country need something like this and deserve something like this.

From a consumer standpoint, use caution, if they choose to print more and the print run gets an additional injection, it could wreck the prices and sealed market for flashy markets. If the supply remains insanely low, expect extremely high prices for the average consumer, in which most people should avoid the product and buy cheaper products like Commander 2019 or Modern horizons.

I do believe we still have a flashy "modern masters" style surprise set coming in the 4th quarter.

Similar to the surprise release of Ultimate masters in 2018 from the previous year.


Comments

So, 20 boxes coming in with 3000+ Patreons to hook up. Offer what..first come, first serve? Highest tier only? Say Rudy offers it for 20 peeps. Complaining starts, multiple email complaints, peeps blow up chat. People feel marginalized, bad blood all around. I would do the same thing...not worth it.

He is buying to keep the relationship with the distributor not because its a good investment....costs 2 dollars today to save 4 down the road type scenerio is what i gather from what he saying lol

I will take my 20 boxes from the distributor and i stand by my comments above, that i would NOT reco buying on the open market at full price. Feel free to come up with any opinion you want on me manipulating the entire market.

Rudy The Magic Guy

So you don’t recommend buying into the hype or investing in the “collectors” set of ToE but you are going to do exactly that yourself? Do as I say not as I do eh? Kinda seems like you want people avoiding it so you can buy up more of the boxes yourself. If they’re going to be more limited and scarce, it sounds like you don’t want the competition. And what does “premium” really mean for a magic set? Variant art I get, but unless they’re printed on something other than card stock, this sounds like a marketing gimmick.

1 box of MH1 is a great beginning imo. It has a unique land set, unique (majority) straight to modern cards, highly sought after foils, and will be a highly sought after draft set once supply dwindles. Personally would rate it a near 9/10 sealed booster box overall. 2 boxes of War of the spark, as it is a FULLY unique set to standard...no other booster box will have a planeswalker in every pack for at LEAST a few years if not a decade+, also making it a highly sought after box for drafting once no longer avail. Be prepared to hold both for 5yrs+ if necessary to realize gains.

I want to start investing in Magic, but I'm no high roller. Where should I begin?.

Wow. I honestly wasn't too interested in these, but if you're really only able to get 18 boxes from your network of suppliers the supply sounds a lot lower than I was originally thinking. Dammit, now I might be interested.

When Rudy invented Magic the Gathering it was one of his best decisions. It was shortly after he discovered America and invented the telephone. Thank you for your amazing inventions Rudy, and yes I am at the Cubs game on Wednesday drinking Coors Lite instead of working. Isn’t that what investment is all about?

He is awesome and the service he provides is definitely awesome! I too have only been a patron for 2 months and am enjoying this. Bought into a case of War of the Spark, went into a very disastrous thunder dome for 2 boxes of ultimate masters. But it was fun to watch and made it worthwhile. His insights are usually pretty on point, but he has been wrong here and there. It’s also a matter of thinking for yourself and make your own decision.

Justin Ball

Can I just say that in an era of negativity especially on the internet that my experience with Rudy’s patreon and magic store have been top notch. I’ve only been a patron for 2 months, but I’ve placed 2 monthly orders and I opted in on the sweet MH1 and Core2020 combo box. Sometimes the corners on the booster boxes can get a little beaten up by the time they arrive (not a big deal to me) but they usually come within a week and as ordered at an extremely good price. You receive tracking notifications within a few days of placing our order so you can follow the package to your doorstep. I’m a very satisfied customer and enjoy your box opening and market/investment discussion videos on youtube as well. Keep rocking Rudy!

Dustin Marquis

Lol...NOICE!

Think they are boxed in a set of 4...so 1.

Going the direction of sports cards you say? hmmm.... I'm looking forward to pulling a game worn card of Liliana. She doesn't wear much clothes so no telling where that swatch of cloth will come from :-D

Normal tacos sound great at this point.

How many commander sets in a case?

that is incorrect, creating an assumption that me not offering the product speaks volumes is dangerous direction. It is not being offered because i have 3,800 patrons and expect to get 24 boxes. I will use it for some box openings and move on.

Rudy The Magic Guy

I’m looking for a case of the Timmy boxes. They will pay out in the end

Justin Ball

You’re saying this, but not offering up the special boxes. Obviously you expect some sort of return in the end. You’ve already said the best words, limited and expensive. It’s also the ONLY way to get cards with newer borders. That specialization is going to be insane with the timmy’s. The fact you aren’t willing to offer it already speaks volumes for what this should be worth

Justin Ball

Drop.com selling Commander set for 114

Those earnings were solid

Hasbro went up 10% almost today ;)

I think the best bet is get 1 collector timmy booster, and sit on it till they say out of print. Depends on the hype the spoilers bring us. As usual the 1 to 3 cost things that do the broken things will be for modern , those usually spike unless they include it in any set product like plains walkers decks. Otherwise sticking with 1 box plus the 1 collector pack they put in the prerelease boxes.

Thanks for the post bro.

Ohhhhh... good question!

As much as I hate myself for it...I'll probably get 1...since below $200 and press the believe button for that amount of investment...grrr wizards. 😂

Getting to be too many shines..timmy can't see much longer.

Will you offer modern horizons next month?

I don’t even know if I consider this wallet fatigue for me, more like I used up all my hype and now I just want to eat some normal tacos for once lol

JoshDFoo

Thanks Rudy! I plan to get one of the Timmy boxes myself to store.

Appreciate the update and hard work Rudy, and keep it up with the finance videos too. Always useful to absorb differing viewpoints and knowledge whenever possible.

Thanks for the intel, Rudy! Great insight information! #ProtectYourTimmyPatrons

But .....shinnny ...Timmy must have shiny!

Agree....vewy wisky it is doc, indeed. If wizards doesn't raise the price of WPN booster boxes...GREAT TIME to preorder from your LGS! (For once 🤣) Should get a collector pack and a buy-a-box promo. Sure hope they don't, but wouldn't bet on it.

Thanks Rudy for keeping an eye out for us!

I was just watching “Modern Horizons by THE PALLET” when I got this notification.

Nicholas Speakman


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