XaiJu
nathanwinklepleck
nathanwinklepleck

patreon


A Simple, Powerful Technique for Timing the Stock Market

Added 2023-02-18 13:06:24 +0000 UTC

I've long been fascinated by this research; is it too good to be true? Let me know what you think!

Comments

Ooh, I found it. It's in the Edit Graph menu under Units.

2023-02-19 04:19:01 +0000 UTC

Nathan, how'd you get FRED to display that data in "Percent Change from Year Ago" format? Also, are we sure the timing function would currently be on? "Advance estimates of U.S. retail and food services sales for January 2023, adjusted for seasonal variation and holiday and trading-day differences, but not for price changes, were $697.0 billion, up 3.0 percent (±0.5 percent) from the previous month, and up 6.4 percent (±0.7 percent) above January 2022."

2023-02-19 04:09:59 +0000 UTC

Can you look at the acquirer's multiple strategy. It's like the Magic Formula except seems to generate even higher returns. Are there any indicators that could further improve upon this strategy for the long run?

2023-02-18 21:41:09 +0000 UTC

I brought up Dobermans because the 2022 letter brought up the. SP 500 the problems with the index. Which led to tracking the 10 Top holdings of the 500 and holding a 50-50 portfolio of Dobermans and top 10 500 stocks. But I found that holding only top 10 stocks of the 500 too volatile. I looked at simply holding The Top 30 holdings to decrease volatility with Dobermans 10 better. Any thoughts of just holding 30 of the SP 500 and walk away from until next year rebalance and reconstitute?

2023-02-18 16:18:41 +0000 UTC

Hi Nathan, Have you heard of Dobermans of the Dow from Michael Cannivet? On the first trading day of the new year he publishes for free the new 10 Dobermans. Most years he beats the Dow 30 and Dogs of the Dow. Rules are simple: 1. Rank the 30 Dow stocks by ROE and keep only the 10. 2. Rank the remaining 20 names by Free Cash Flow Yield. Keep the ten and hold annually. Though in 2021 report you made a little more rebalance quarterly. I started 2021 gain 15% and 2022 lost 8%.

2023-02-18 16:07:27 +0000 UTC

More Creators

iskra

iskra

 patreon
Thamriyell

Thamriyell

 patreon
roku24

roku24

 fanbox
lazysnout

lazysnout

 patreon
BEBE CARROT

BEBE CARROT

 gumroad
MistCats

MistCats

 patreon
JusttCrafts

JusttCrafts

 patreon
Lewdineer

Lewdineer

 patreon
kumanomi

kumanomi

 fanbox
GrowingDesires

GrowingDesires

 patreon
melaisen

melaisen

 patreon
smukt

smukt

 gumroad
アオダ＠凍結解除!

アオダ＠凍結解除!

 fanbox
anon

anon

 fanbox
shuu

shuu

 fanbox
_las_

_las_

 patreon
Moreflame

Moreflame

 patreon
nuclear82

nuclear82

 fanbox
Chantatou-Hwi

Chantatou-Hwi

 fanbox
boudoirbg

boudoirbg

 patreon
小G

小G

 fanbox
Lonely Studios

Lonely Studios

 gumroad
Reiya Munakata

Reiya Munakata

 gumroad
Ardesc

Ardesc

 patreon
JKmon

JKmon

 patreon
kashiwa-sc

kashiwa-sc

 fanbox
Habooh 📢Picture sets are uploaded at least 3 times a week!

Habooh 📢Picture sets are uploaded at least 3 times a week!

 patreon
ActualE

ActualE

 patreon
Baron Von Meowsberg

Baron Von Meowsberg

 patreon
alicealicee

alicealicee

 patreon
方心南

方心南

 fanbox
lostinvegas

lostinvegas

 patreon
David Chen

David Chen

 patreon
i107760

i107760

 patreon
Hannibal Not Barca

Hannibal Not Barca

 patreon
Wyimaginowany

Wyimaginowany

 patreon
FloofDragon

FloofDragon

 patreon
camiliciousREACTS

camiliciousREACTS

 patreon
Haru

Haru

 gumroad
Suspicious Soup

Suspicious Soup

 patreon