TOTW Hype Trading

What is TOTW Hype Trading?

TOTW Hype Trading is the idea to make profit through the hype around the next potential TOTW. I will just talk about the Gold cards in this guide, the next Guide is about OTW and Headliner cards. 

How to do it

As we all know, when a real-life Football Player has a really good game, he has a shout for the next TOTW and with him being in the TOTW removes the Gold Card from the packs for a week. The hype for his Gold card rises same as his price. While being out of packs for week, he even has the chance to rise higher and higher!

But what we actually aim here is to get on the Gold Card between multiple buy and sell windows to make quick short-term profit instead of holding the card for a week! This is the key concept behind the trading method. 

Buy and Sell Windows

I want to make this as general as possible, but its not as easy to pinpoint as you think. I will show you some common pattern!

The most common pattern for this method is the spike and fall after a good performance. You can see a card going high after a good game but also low after the game for a very short time again. The spike is a good sell window and the drop after the game is a good buy window. On most cases it recovers again and continue to rise as more Traders are talking about it! 

As most games are on the weekend, the Squad Battle Rewards are another good buy time for potential TOTW Cards! The supply allows us to look out for some low prices. 

Monday to Tuesday is another potential sell window. During these days, most TOTW predictions are getting posted and people start to buy the cards to make profit, but they are already too late and we sell them for higher prices to late buyers. 

Tuesday to Wednesday is another buy window. This depends on the content, but sometimes we get a Pack SBC and the market sees some supply. Looking for some low prices then is also a solid idea! 

The last sell window is just before the TOTW drops. Like the 1-6h before the TOTW is a good point to just cash out in the hype without risking much! If you are confident with your buys, you can even hold on until 3pm for the announcement and sell them straight after knowing the TOTW.

This is the best way to explain it without making straight rules, there will be exceptions and sometimes it will move different but this is the rough outline how the market reacts on different days. 

Special Cases

Long-term Profit

There will be cases when I recommend to buy a card and hold it for a longer time. It happens only like 2-3 times a year sadly but the profit can be very decent! If there’s any opportunity, I will let you know!

Surprising TOTW Cards

If there's any surprising TOTW card which wasn’t in any Predictions, you have to be super fast or its not worth it to buy. Especially around the first TOTWs, people really go stupid and buy at very high prices around 3pm due to the announcement. 

If you are still looking for a potential buy, I recommend checking the time between 3pm and 6pm. That’s kind of the dead time nobody cares about the next TOTW and the cards are still getting supplied. That allows them to go a bit lower again just before they go out of packs!

Leaked TOTW

It’s a bit tougher with Leaks. Exclusive leaks from this Discord are easier to trade with as we don’t have that many buyers but we can still up the prices by a few k very fast! It still applies the same, buy as soon as possible and aim to sell at 3pm with the EA announcement!

If it’s a public leak, its almost impossible and most of the time not even worth it. Leaks usually go through some trader’s hand just like our Discord and people buy before everyone else. Any late buyer just helps the early trader and it ends up with little or no profit. 

Summary

- Short-term > Long-term

- Get on multiple buy and sell windows

- Be ahead of other people