It's worse than we thought. Earlier in the year, Dmitry Peskov reported that there would be an estimated 125 military vehicles at the 2023 Moscow Victory Day Parade. In 2022 there were 137, and in 2021 over 200.
Fifty-one.
That includes the leading T-34 from World War II and 10 Z-STS Akhmat MRAPs only used by Chechen forces.
The Tigr-Ms and VPK-Urals are used by OMON and the Rosgvardia, hinting that 29 of the vehicles in today's parade were for internal security.
The p...
2023-05-09 09:27:09 +0000 UTC
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Prigozhin claiming Ukrainian forces took back 3 square kilometers of territory "in the Bakhmut direction" which may confirm the reports of a Ukrainian counteroffensive on the northern flank. He did not provide specific geography
2023-05-09 09:10:16 +0000 UTC
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We won't have a full translation until later in the day but in a 27-minute video released just seconds after the end of the Victory Day Parade in Moscow, making a number of scorching claims.
Before the Victory Day Parade in Moscow, PMC Wagner leader Yevgeny Prigozhin released a shorter video saying, "Congratulations to everyone on Victory Day! So as not to spoil the holiday for anyone, the full video where I talk about the ammunition situation, we'll show it at 10:40 MDT exactly, after ...
2023-05-09 09:07:12 +0000 UTC
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A lone T-34 tank led the victory day parade. The rest of the vehicles were MRAPs, Infantry Mobility Vehicles, S-400 antiaircraft missile launchers, mobile ICBM launchers, a handful of armored personnel carriers, and Iskander-M launchers.
There were no Grad, Smerch, or Tornado-S launchers, no infantry fighting vehicles, no self-propelled howitzers, and no "wonder weapons" such as the T-14 Armada or the Terminator armored fighting vehicle.
Most of the "troops" were cadet officers fr...
2023-05-09 08:32:49 +0000 UTC
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Are you new to our Patreon? You need to click on the link to download the PDF attachment, which has links to all the videos referenced in the podcast.
This is Report 380, which is 48 pages in condensed format. This is the only update for May 8.
Important: Until further notice, we are moving to a condensed format for Situation Reports due to increasing activity in support of the looming Ukrai...
2023-05-09 07:43:39 +0000 UTC
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Russian state enterprise Rosatom announced that plant operations at Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Power Plant are being shut down, and Energoatom claimed that the 3,100 plant operators are being evacuated. Civilian evacuations have been ongoing in Enerhodar, with Ukrainians accusing Russia of moving troops in and evacuees out on the same vehicles.
Facts First
1) The International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) reported on May 6 that all reactors were already shut down. I don't understand when...
2023-05-08 21:46:29 +0000 UTC
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Are you new to our Patreon? You need to click on the link to download the PDF attachment, which has links to all the videos referenced in the podcast.
This is Report 379-B, which is 46 pages in condensed format. This is the second update for May 7, 2023.
Important: Until further notice, we are moving to a condensed format for Situation Reports due to increasing activity in support of the loo...
2023-05-08 07:37:39 +0000 UTC
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Are you new to our Patreon? You need to click on the link to download the PDF attachment, which has links to all the videos referenced in the podcast.
This is Report 379-A, which is 23 pages in condensed format. This is the first update for May 7, 2023.
Important: Until further notice, we are moving to a condensed format for Situation Reports due to increasing activity in support of the loom...
2023-05-07 21:55:11 +0000 UTC
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Are you new to our Patreon? You need to click on the link to download the PDF attachment, which has links to all the videos referenced in the podcast.
This is Report 378, which is 42 pages, condensed format, and combat only.
Important: Until further notice, we are moving to a condensed format for Situation Reports due to increasing activity in support of the looming Ukrainian offensive. The ...
2023-05-07 11:35:27 +0000 UTC
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The next phase of the Ukrainian offensive is starting with the ground drying out and an increase in shaping attacks and troop movements. Additionally, Prigozhin announced that effectively immediately they have ended combat operations in Bakhmut (not withdrawn - yet) and that control is being handed over to Chechen Akhmat on May 10, 2023 at 00:00 hours.
If you're a newer Malcontent what are mini-SITREPS?
Mini SITREPS are two or three updates a day because things are moving so fast ...
2023-05-07 03:05:55 +0000 UTC
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Are you new to our Patreon? You need to click on the link to download the PDF attachment, which has links to all the videos referenced in the podcast.
This is Report 377, which is 64 pages, combat only.
What's the big story? All signs are point to PMC Wagner withdrawing from Bakhmut and responsibility handed off to Chechen Akhmat. Don.
The second story? Thirty-five Ukrainian brigades are poised to be part of the co...
2023-05-06 13:12:38 +0000 UTC
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Are you new to our Patreon? You need to click on the link to download the PDF attachment, which has links to all the videos referenced in the podcast.
This is Report 376, which is 55 pages, and only covers the Ukrainian theater of war.
What's the big story? PMC Wagner's leader Yevgeny Prigozhin has announced his intention to withdraw from Bakhmut on May 10, and it is not a bluff. We have in-depth analysis on how the situ...
2023-05-05 12:50:42 +0000 UTC
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Are you new to our Patreon? You need to click on the link to download the PDF attachment, which has links to all the videos referenced in the podcast.
This is Report 376, which is 54 pages, combat only.
What's the big story? The Kremlin is hit by two drones
The second story? Almost two dozen were killed and 48 wounded in Kherson during a day of terror.
The Malcontent News Russia Ukraine War Podcast for yester...
2023-05-04 11:19:29 +0000 UTC
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Recent failures in background checks of new and existing service members have been thrust into the spotlight with the arrest of Air National Guardsmen Jack Teixeira for the leaking of hundreds of classified Pentagon documents and former U.S. Navy Chief Petty Officer Sarah Bils for engaging in what she called hybrid warfare against the United States since 2014. Despite rising demand for security clearance background checks by the U.S. government and military, the process to protect America’s...
2023-05-03 20:53:44 +0000 UTC
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At roughly 02:30 hours Moscow time, a small drone struck the Kremlin, appearing to target the Russian flag flying from a flagpole sparking a small fire. At the time of the strike, at least two people were on the roof of the Kremlin, climbing toward the targeted area.
Link to Drone Strike
At 02:43 hours, a second drone was allegedly shot down or brought down using electronic warfa...
2023-05-03 18:20:32 +0000 UTC
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Are you new to our Patreon? You need to click on the link to download the PDF attachment, which has links to all the videos referenced in the podcast.
This is Report 375, which is 60 pages.
What's the big story? Kherson leaders have announced a full curfew from May 5 to 8 while activity on the islands adjacent to the east bank increases.
The second story? There were fewer than 35 Russian attacks theaterwide, indica...
2023-05-03 10:48:37 +0000 UTC
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It's a Band-Aid but it's an elegant Band-Aid. Something better is coming.
2023-05-02 23:33:18 +0000 UTC
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Are you new to our Patreon? You need to click on the link to download the PDF attachment, which has links to all the videos referenced in the podcast.
This is Report 374, which is 53 pages.
What's the big story? Bakhmut holds.
The second story? Ukrainian forces continue to set conditions for an offensive but where and when is still unknown.
Bonus story? We know a lot more about the Pavlohrad explosion.
...
2023-05-02 10:34:44 +0000 UTC
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Are you new to our Patreon? You need to click on the link to download the PDF attachment, which has links to all the videos referenced in the podcast.
This is Report 373, which is 59 pages.
What's the big story? Reports of a 200-missile Russian attack were highly exaggerated, but there was a massive explosion in Dnipropetrovsk. We tried to reach a fact-based conclusion, but we need to wait for satellite images.
The...
2023-05-01 12:42:56 +0000 UTC
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Last night, at 23:30 PDT I had to rush my wife to the hospital with an eye injury. We're back home, and she has a consult on Monday. By the time we got back, it was too late to assemble the SITREP, so today's report will be a supersized 2X makeup report.
Biggest things from yesterday.
- Ukrainian retrograde operation in Bakhmut continues. It is only a matter of time now.
- Ukrainian forces made progress in the no man's land north of Vodyane and Opytne. It isn't enough ...
2023-04-30 19:38:12 +0000 UTC
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Are you new to our Patreon? You need to click on the link to download the PDF attachment, which has links to all the videos referenced in the podcast.
This is Report 372, which is 44 pages.
Apologies for the delay! Literally did not hit "send" last night and this was sitting in drafts all ready to go.
What's the big story? Ukrainian drones strike a fuel depot in Sevastopol, causing a massi...
2023-04-29 21:20:22 +0000 UTC
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Are you new to our Patreon? You need to click on the link to download the PDF attachment, which has links to all the videos referenced in the podcast.
This is Report 371, which is 54 pages.
What's the big story? Ukrainian forces are taking the final steps in their planned retrograde operation from Bakhmut. With the loss of two critical defensive hard points and other actions taken by Ukrainian forces, in our assessment t...
2023-04-28 09:57:22 +0000 UTC
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Are you new to our Patreon? You need to click on the link to download the PDF attachment, which has links to all the videos referenced in the podcast.
This is Report 370, which is 62 pages.
Thank you for 2,000,000! It quietly went by a week ago, but the Russia-Ukraine War Report Podcast had its two-millionth download, and we are on pace for 400,000 downloads in April. It would have never happened without...
2023-04-27 08:35:07 +0000 UTC
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Google has published updated satellite images for Mariupol and Hostomel into Google Maps/Earth.
The Mariupol dataset is from March 19 to March 24 (roughly). Hostomel appears to be from the same time frame.
Mariupol
Tanks on the street in Mariupol: link
This is the Russian state media propaganda event on March 24 handing out "humanitarian aid," which was just the inventory of the Metro...
2023-04-26 22:04:35 +0000 UTC
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If you're a new subscriber (there are a lot of you), welcome! You might not have a lot of context, so let me explain.
About two weeks ago, it appeared that Yevgeny Prigozhin and Sergei Shoigu had stopped their very public and damaging fight, and the Kremlin was back to supporting PMC Wagner. But we pointed out this was a terrible arrangement for the mercenary organization.
Yes, Prigozhin and his "boys" got their ammunition back and artillery support, and the Russian Ministry of De...
2023-04-26 20:22:40 +0000 UTC
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Are you new to our Patreon? You need to click on the link to download the PDF attachment, which has links to all the videos referenced in the podcast.
This is Report 369, which is 48 pages.
What's the big story? Bakhmut holds with Ukrainian forces continuing their retrograde operation.
The second story? There hasn't been significant fighting in Luhansk for weeks, and Ukrianian forces are increasing on the offensive...
2023-04-26 07:47:58 +0000 UTC
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Are you new to our Patreon? You need to click on the link to download the PDF attachment, which has links to all the videos referenced in the podcast.
This is Report 368, which is 46 pages.
What's the big story? It is highly unlikely weather conditions will support large-scale offensive operations before May 12. Patreons get exclusive analysis not shared in the podcast.
The second story? Bakhmut holds, but the situ...
2023-04-25 06:33:35 +0000 UTC
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Are you new to our Patreon? You need to click on the link to download the PDF attachment, which has links to all the videos referenced in the podcast.
This is Report 367, which is 59 pages.
What's the big story? A lot of geolocated videos out of Bakhmut show that the situation has deteriorated.
The second story? The lack of fighting everywhere else. There was no reportable fighting in Luhansk.
Bonus story? Uk...
2023-04-24 10:01:39 +0000 UTC
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What kind of Kentucky Fried Chicken spin master statement is that? How can Ukraine losing ground in Spirne be good news?
Because it is who captured the gas compressor station.
Chechen Akhmat.
Video shows Chechen Akhmat in control of the hard point, which Ukraine and Russia have traded back and forth since June 2022, but this does tell us something.
The only time Chechens are on the front lines of fighting is when there are no other options or when a unit has really ang...
2023-04-24 00:54:42 +0000 UTC
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We're halfway there. We can edit the map internally, and analysts have access again, but public access is still not resolved. The good news is we can do a full report with maps. However, there will not be links to exact locations until we know it's fixed. Thank you for your patience.
We know more about what is going on here but need to respect operational security. So here is a summary of what is available in the public domain, so you don't have to go look for it and connect the dots.
2023-04-24 00:38:30 +0000 UTC
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