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Today's report is 45 pages.
What's the big story? PMC Wagner makes significant advances south of Bakhmut.
The second story? Forget Leopard 2 tanks, we're talking aloud about sending F-16s fighter planes.
The Malcontent News Russia Ukraine War Podcast from yesterday is available on:
- Our hosting website at ...
2023-01-20 09:48:56 +0000 UTC
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Are you new to our Patreon? You need to click on the link to download the PDF attachment.
Today's report is 47 pages.
What's the big story? We had reported in October that a key contact in the Donbas had been missing since May 17, and we feared the worst. Seven months after they went missing, we learned they were able to cross into free Ukraine and are safe. There are some details in the report and I will add, she look...
2023-01-19 11:12:15 +0000 UTC
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And despite the helicopter crash today, there is somewhat good news on the battlefield too. If you already know our housekeeping good news....shhhhhhh.
2023-01-19 05:26:25 +0000 UTC
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The Russian Ministry of Defense successfully executed a special sleep deprivation operation on the west coast of the United States, as the OSINT community stayed up until 04:30 local time, waiting for a speech from Russian President Vladimir Putin that never happened.
Well played, Russia.
Well played.
How I feel right now
2023-01-18 21:14:48 +0000 UTC
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Are you new to our Patreon? You need to click on the link to download the PDF attachment.
Today's report is 45 pages.
What's the big story? Internal Affairs Minister of Ukraine Denys Monastyrsky, his deputy Yevhen Yenin, and State Secretary Yurii Lubkovich were killed in an early morning helicopter crash near Kyiv.
The second story? All eyes are on St. Petersburg as Putin prepares to make a "major speech."
2023-01-18 09:43:00 +0000 UTC
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Are you new to our Patreon? You need to click on the link to download the PDF attachment to ready the Situation Report.
Today's report is 49 pages and contains descriptions, pictures, and videos of war crimes that some readers may find disturbing.
What's the big story? Russian forces make gains west of Soledar and north and southeast of Bakhmut.
The second story? Aleksey Arestovich may have crossed a bridge too ...
2023-01-17 11:21:50 +0000 UTC
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PMC Wagner has shared pictures of their forces at the Sil' railroad station, indicating that western Soledar and Sil' are under Russian control. The map will be updated later in the day as we get more intelligence.
In other news, the United Kingdom has officially announced a massive military aid package for Ukraine, rivaling the $3B United States package announced at the beginning of the year.
- 14 Challenger 2 tanks with armored recovery and repair vehicles, spare parts, etc....
2023-01-16 19:43:32 +0000 UTC
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Are you new to our Patreon? You need to click on the link to download the PDF attachment to ready the Situation Report.
Today's report is 45 pages and contains descriptions, pictures, and videos of war crimes that some readers may find disturbing.
What's the big story? Intense fighting continues around Soledar, with PMC Wagner and Russian forces making new gains.
The second story? Ukrainian forces have ent...
2023-01-16 11:05:12 +0000 UTC
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Are you new to our Patreon? You need to click on the link to download the PDF attachment to ready the Situation Report.
Today's report is 53 pages and contains descriptions, pictures, and videos of war crimes that some readers may find disturbing. The report is very late because the team was trying to validate a lot of information.
What's the big story? Russia launched 38 missiles at Ukrainian and shifted tactics, redu...
2023-01-15 13:14:02 +0000 UTC
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There is a lot of confusion coming out of Kyiv after a series of explosions were reported around 6 AM. Ukrainian officials initially stated that the blasts were not related to "military activity," then stated that "critical infrastructure" was on fire, which caused the explosions.
Mayor Wladimir Klychko said that the blasts were related to a Russian strike but did not clarify if it was sabotage, drone, bomb, or missile, and added that an air raid alert was only in effect for the Kyiv ob...
2023-01-14 08:57:30 +0000 UTC
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Are you new to our Patreon? You need to click on the link to download the PDF attachment to ready the Situation Report.
Today's report is 37 pages.
What's the big story? The rift between the Russian Ministry of Defense and the Private Military Company Wagner Group burst today after Wagner was snubbed in a Russian update.
The second story? Soledar and Bakhmut
The Malcontent News Russia Ukraine War Podcast ...
2023-01-14 08:50:52 +0000 UTC
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Bear Net is active and at least eight Russian bombers are airborne - Tu-95 and Tu-22M3 aircraft.
Looks like it is going to be a long day.
2023-01-14 08:41:42 +0000 UTC
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It has been over two weeks since the last large-scale missile and drone attack on Ukrainian civilian infrastructure. While the power grid operates at 50% of its prewar capacity, it still operates along with trains, critical infrastructure, and factories. After three months of attacks that cost the Russian Ministry of Defense billions of dollars, there is very little to show for it. Although life isn't easy, Ukrainians are not freezing to death in their homes.
General of the Army Sergey ...
2023-01-14 01:13:22 +0000 UTC
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Are you new to our Patreon? You need to click on the link to download the PDF attachment to ready the Situation Report.
Today's report is 41 pages.
What's the big story? Soledar and Bakhmut
The second story? Kreminna
The Malcontent News Russia Ukraine War Podcast for yesterday is available on:
The General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reported that Ukrainian troops successfully defended positions held in Kreminna.
We now consider the critical Russian defensive point as contested and believe the Russian Ministry of Defense is going to have to make some significant manpower decisions in the coming days.
2023-01-12 11:38:36 +0000 UTC
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Are you new to our Patreon? You need to click on the link to download the PDF attachment to ready the Situation Report.
Today's report is 61 pages.
What's the big story? General of the Army Sergei Surovikin has been relieved of command of the Joint Group of Troops in the “special military operation” zone.
The second story? Russia does not control Soledar and hundreds of Ukrainian troops were not surrounded and ...
2023-01-12 11:27:52 +0000 UTC
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Credit goes to Malcontent, subscriber, and photographer Óskar Hallgrímsson who shared with us on January 7 that at least one British national had gone missing near Bakhmut, and there was likely a second person. The timing lined up during breakfast while on vacation and a short period of having a stable Internet connection. I wrote a brief tweet stating there was a preliminary report of one British national captured by Private Military Company Wagner Group. Given the team was on break and "t...
2023-01-11 23:34:12 +0000 UTC
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It appears this is a done deal. During a visit to Lviv, Ukraine, Polish president Andrzej Duda announced that Poland is sending a "company" of German-built Leopard 2 main battle tanks to Ukraine. This would represent 14 tanks following NATO standards.
It is widely expected that this is the first of a series of announcements of modern Western main battle tanks that will be supplied to Ukraine by several countries. The Rheinmetall Rh-120 main gun has an effective range of 4,000 meters (or...
2023-01-11 21:54:56 +0000 UTC
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If the January 10 Situation Report was a full report, we would have added additional assessment that it has been too long without a large scale missile attack on Ukrainian infrastructure.
There are signs that another wave of attacks are being prepared in the next 24 to 72 hours. If another wave is launched, it will answer questions about Shahed-136 drone performance in cold weather given current conditions.
2023-01-11 21:39:28 +0000 UTC
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Our assessment that General of the Army Sergei Surovikin was under increasing pressure to deliver a victory on the battlefield in Ukraine was correct. Surovikin has been demoted. Chief of the General Staff of the Russian Armed Forces, Valery Gerasimov, is now responsible for the military mission in Ukraine.
Surovikin's tenure was three months, surviving longer than any of his predecessors in the role. Our subscribers and listeners shouldn't be surprised as we have maintained that Surovi...
2023-01-11 21:36:47 +0000 UTC
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Are you new to our Patreon? You need to click on the link to download the PDF attachment to ready the Situation Report.
Surprise! A condensed report a day early. Full Situation Report will restart tomorrow.
What's the big story? The situation in Soledar is extremely difficult with significant fog of war - we try to cut through it.
The second story? Ukrainian forces are just outside of Kreminna.
The Malcontent News Russia Ukraine War P...
2023-01-11 07:49:43 +0000 UTC
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There is a joke in a group I am in that whenever I step away; big things happen for Ukraine. This wasn't the case this time.
I started wading through intelligence reports yesterday, and I know questions are flooding in. First, I hope everyone enjoyed our interviews; one more is coming later today. Second, there will be a mini-situation report today (surprise), so we can have a podcast tomorrow.
Here is what we're comfortable talking about heading north to south.
The map link...
2023-01-10 20:55:01 +0000 UTC
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Just a quick break from the break. Little has changed from 12-29. Weather remains unseasonably warm, which is slowing offensive operations. The truth about Marinka is out, which is to say the 1st Army Corps made no progress in December. Ukraine is inching closer to Svatove and Kreminna and little change around Bakhmut. Missile and drone attacks are now focusing on civilians over New Year's. A lot of signs Russia will start some additional mobilization in January.
Hope you had a wonderf...
2023-01-02 06:35:11 +0000 UTC
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Are you new to our Patreon? You need to click on the link to download the PDF attachment to ready the Situation Report.
What's the big story? The largest missile attack since February 24 is ongoing - right now. At least 120 cruise missiles and an unknown number of drones.
The second story? Ukraine made significant gains toward Svatove in Luhansk.
The Malcontent News Russia Ukraine War Podcast for yesterday is available at:
- Our h...
2022-12-29 08:56:35 +0000 UTC
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Are you new to our Patreon? You need to click on the link to download the PDF attachment to ready the Situation Report.
What's the big story? It isn't a frozen front, but there hasn't been much change on the line of conflict.
The second story? There is palace intrigue at the Kremlin.
The Malcontent News Russia Ukraine War Podcast for December 25 is available at:
There are a lot of rumors that exploded over the last 48 hours.
Ukrainian troops are fighting within or liberated Kreminna.
FALSE. Ukrainian forces have made significant gains we already documented on December 24 and have almost certainly advanced through the forested areas northeast of Dibrova, but they are not in Kreminna. It is reported that Russian military commanders in Kreminna withdrew to Rubizhne. We cannot confirm this, but...
2022-12-26 20:27:53 +0000 UTC
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LUHANSK
Link to Map
Summary: There is mostly positional fighting along the entire axis, with weather/ground conditions somewhat improved but slowing operations. Mercenaries with Rybar described it as “taking the day off,” but that is likely some propagandist spin ba...
2022-12-24 23:42:19 +0000 UTC
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I've been transparent with the health struggles my wife and I have had post-COVID. I've been dealing with exhausting (and doing much better at the six month mark). My wife's immune system got whacked and she has had repeated MRSA infections.
She is dealing with another one, and it is in a very bad spot, but was spotted/treated early and we thought it was under control. It has exploded in the last two hours and rushing to hospital
EOM
2022-12-24 02:05:38 +0000 UTC
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What's the big story? They were small changes to the front, with Russia and Ukraine both making gains in different areas.
The second story? In parts of Donetsk, Russian forces have switched to a defensive posture.
The Malcontent News Russia Ukraine War Podcast for yesterday is available at:
What's the big story? The ongoing battle for Bakhmut reached a culmination point, and PMC Wagner is no longer leading the fighting in parts of Luhansk and Donetsk.
The second story? Mr Zelenskyy goes to Washington and Mr. Shoigu gets a blank check from Mr. Putin.
Bonus Story: The former Director General of Roscosmos turned high priced mobik and Adolf Hitler enthusiast (not snark), Dmitry Rogozin, had a close encounter of the worst kind with an artillery shell as did the Prime Mini...
2022-12-22 10:38:35 +0000 UTC
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