The Long Investor

$SPY TOP 20

I can not begin to imagine what it must be like for a new investor or trader to navigate the market right now, if the only reference they had was sentiment on X, it would be very difficult to keep to your strategy and stay in positions with this enormous selling pressure and concerns with macro influences.....

And I don't think anyone can truly stay immune from these influences either, so we must have in place coping mechanisms and strategies to ground us and stay focused, and for us th...

$QQQ TOP 20

Important level we were watching this week was the 50 WMA which aligned with the 0.618 Fib at $483, it was under pressure on Friday but the price managed to recover and finish at $491 to end the week.

Again, I have added in the ABC correction count here if this important confluence level is lost at $483, so we can be prepared for where the Wave A pull back is heading too.

I have said this a number of time and it will all rest on how $NVDA behaves next week, it needs to first start...

$V TOP 20

Quite remarkable from $V here, a chart that we have added to the Top 20 list since July '24 at $255 and said that it was going to $366 next to complete Wave 3.

This also helped guide us through the market over the last 9 months as it showed that market sentiment was still strong as consumers continued to keep spending

Now we have a test of the 1.618 Fib at $366 exactly and a pull back to the 50 Day MA...

Losing this MA at $338 and there is a drop down to the 200 Day MA at $...

$TSLA TOP 20

$TSLA has given back all the post election gains that Elon worked so hard for and the roller-coaster still needs to find its base support level.

This may come in the form of the 200 WMA which came very close to a test on Friday when the price held at $250, with the 200 WMA at $248.

A hold on this level would be an attractive area to add.....and I believe bulls would likely feast on $TSLA below the 200 WMA too....as I would with $AMZN under its own 200 WMA.

$SHOP TOP 20

We have waited a long time for this, we waited and watched this steam ahead and not give us an adequate pull back for months and we never chased and bide our time

Now we have a break down into the rising wedge again and the price is currently in the Buy Zone now

However, the price is only retesting the rising wedge top line from below now at $100, a rejection here and this can drop lower and even go as low as the 200 Day MA at $88.

For now, wait for the price action to find ...

$SE TOP 20

$SE got that aggressive bounce post earnings this week and the price did manage to run up to the 3.618 Fib at $145 but was met with a strong resistance and a pull back.

If the price stays below the blue line at $136 and drops out of the channel then we must expect the ABC correction next as the impulse wave does look exhausted here.

Buy Zone again here would be under $88.

$PYPL TOP 20

$PYPL is a position I am probably most bullish about from the Top 20 list, along with $NKE, as long as support can hold above the $67 support level next week.

Otherwise this is down to the next support level at $60 and back in the range

But holding above the $67 and I believe the market will consider this a strong risk v reward position, to hold during a market correction and its fundamentals will be a strong factor.

I like $PYPL and will likely be adding to my position soon...

$NKE TOP 20

Relatively speaking $NKE has been performing very well in 2025 and that is why it is one of our Top 10 positions and mainly brought on by having such a difficult 2 years leading up to this point.

Someone made a good point that $NKE is considered a Chinese play too and I think that is a fair comment considering their exposure.

This pull back looks nearly complete, so we are just looking for one more flush down to the 50 Day MA in between the 0.5 - 0.618 Fib level at $74 and then we...

$MSFT TOP 20

Continues to look weak here in a corrective formation and this is not somewhere I would be adding unless there is further downside and below $350 is only somewhere I would consider with the weakness being shown here.

If the red line is lost at $387 then I believe that Wave C comes in next with very little issue.

For now, sitting on your hands make the most sense here.

$INTC TOP 20

$INTC broke the cardinal sin of not holding the breakout level on the retest

Price broke above the blue range top line at $24.60 and the 200 Day MA and on the retest, support was almost non-existent and the price sank with the Semi sector and dropped deep into the Consolidation range, so the price can continue moving sideways in this range for the foreseeable.

I do believe there is limited downside if $18 is lost.

$GOOG TOP 20

Important week for $GOOG as it comfortably lost its 200 Day MA this week and we can see that there is a retest of this level from below to end the week at $176.

If there is a rejection next week underneath the 200 Day MA then we can assume that $GOOG will meet the same faith as $MSFT next and there will be a lower low down to the blue line or 0.38 Fib between $155 - $138 to complete Wave A.

A rejection under the 200 Day MA this week may encourage people to trim their position too ...

$BTC TOP 20

Some weakness today as the Crypto event was less than enthusiastic and bulls may feel that the shot in the arm they needed did not come.

This changes very little of course, as long as support holds and if the US Market reacts positively this week then $BTC will follow.

If the 200 Day MA is lost and the 0.5 Fib at $79.5k, the Wave A is confirmed for me and we would expect support at $73.3k to complete Wave A.

Make no mistake, if the market corrects with $BTC, then this will h...

$BABA TOP 20 & TOP 10

A clear outlier this year for Mega Caps and putting the US positions to shame and also a very big part of our portfolio.

A number of us are waiting for a pull back to come to add again but right now I am doing nothing, I want a pull back below to $121 or lower or I will let this run for Wave 3 and trim -20% when the price rejects at the Wave 3 target at $164, to add again on the Wave 4 level at $132.

This Wave 3 has been strong an aggressive and brought on because of how long $BAB...

$AMZN TOP 20

We all know by now that I am a big fan of $AMZN and a bull, I would love nothing more than to see an ABC correction here and buying $AMZN at $143 or below.

I hold a position and very happy with it.

$AMZN consistently reports incredible earnings and margins and their share price has still been able to drop -20% since Jan, this tells you that a share price can be incredibly irrational in the short term and we must take advantage of this irrationality, especially for core stocks we w...

$AMD TOP 20

Very little I can say here that has not been said a number of times already

$AMD is still looking for support and the next test is the $91 level on the 0.78 Fib and the blue support line

Price is still below the 200 WMA and I hold a position and will not be selling under this MA with their strong fundamentals, I will only accumulate when support is found.

Long term hold.

$ABNB TOP 20

Flirted a few times with staying out of the Buy Zone and even dropping down back into the descending wedge but the price managed to hold in the Buy Zone again to finish the week.

Price is below the 50 and 200 Day MA's right now, so waiting for a holding above $136 and above these MA's is the entry point now to add, below these MA's and the risk is elevated and support is still needed.

No rush in here just yet until support is found.

$AAPL TOP 20

On the majority of all of the Mega Caps we upload as part of the Top 20 uploads each weekend, I have added the possible ABC correction if the market does not hold the 200 Day MA in the coming weeks, so we know what to look out for and where to trim positions.....and in all cases, if the ABC correction is confirmed, then Wave B is the typical place to trim when Wave B rejects trying to make a higher high.

With $AAPL, price is still holding above the blue case blue line at $239 and not lo...

EARNINGS THIS WEEK

MON: $ORCL

WEDS: $ADBE (TOP 10), $PATH

THURS: $DG, $FUTU, $ULTA, $DOCU

FRI: $LI, $RLX

$F - IMPORTANT NOTE -

There is a very clear 40 Year Old support/resistance line on the $F chart and that is exactly at $10.

$F is the very definition of a cyclical stock, when the economy is doing well it climbs, when it is struggling it collapses down, it is all down to peoples ability to buy, upgrade or get a loan.

In a downturn, people will hold off on purchasing a new product like a car and try extend the life of their current vehicle, in a uptrend, people spend more and upgrade more frequently. 2025-03-08 12:50:04 +0000 UTC View Post

$JASMY

I am still holding $JASMY and it is my only high risk Alt Coins that I have exposure to and I will stick with it.

As always, if the 0.618 Fib is lost which is the standard ABC pull back support level, then weakness is showing and we know this because Alts are struggling right now

That being said, there is a set up here, the next fib support level is the 0.78 Fib and that is where this very tight descending wedge is moving to now.

A hold on this level, followed by a breakout...

$SIRI - WATCHLIST -

$SIRI behaved as expected this week too and pulled back to its standard 0.618 Fib at $23, held and has now bounced and back out of the descending wedge again.

The length of the blue shaded range goes up to $49, which is where the 200 WMA is at right now.

So as I have said here before, I like the technical set up, I like the trapped value here and the Buffett due diligence done here too, as he has been accumulating heavy.

The 200 Day MA just next to flip to support at $27 and...

$IWM

$IWM has pulled back nicely in 3 waves now and I believe we are still in Wave 4 here but the price must start holding for support and the 0.5 Fib at $203 is the ideal place to find support now too.

Below the blue line at $199 and we must consider that the top is in here but we are not there yet.

A hold now above $203 and the price can return back up to the blue line for a +20% gain at the very least next.

$SOFI - WATCHLIST -

A lot of positions came under enormous pressure this week and we were watching closely for support levels to see if they would hold and watched for any infringements upon the top of Wave 1's.

In $SOFI's case, the price needed to stay above the green line at $11.70, so not to infringe upon Wave 1.

So far this has been successful and the price is already back up above the 0.5 Fib now at $12.51

I did start a position here last week and I am comfortably holding, what we want to...

$CELH - WATCHLIST -

$CELH could be one of those companies to keep an eye on going into next week.

Price is holding now on the blue support line, which is between the 0.618 Fib and 0.78 Fib and at the 50 Day MA

So in spite of the week we had, this has been fairly standard. If the price can continue to hold above $26 then Wave 3 is next for me, which is at the 1.618 Fib as always at $45.

Even a return to the 200 Day MA here is attractive at $38.

$OSCR TOP 10

The higher fib levels have now been added and I like how the 2 Fib is aligning closeby with the blue line which is the Cup and Handle top line at $23.

We have seen some great moments this week from $OSCR as it handled the market weakness with ease.

Price is also raising its head above the trend line too to end the week, this is the 1 hr chart, so the next test will be staying above this level and and breaking above the 200 Day MA at $17.05

Holding above $17.05 is the low en...

$AVGO

Up +9% in the PM now after a double beat on earnings and the market likes it.

I have added in the corrective wave here because I already have Wave 5 in between the 3.618 - 4.618 Fib range, so I have not changed my view here

I believe this bounce is likely to be a Wave B bounce then an extended Wave 5 which would go as high as the extremely extended 4.618 Fib at $284.

$PAYO

As much as I am not a big fan of their service because I use it with Patreon due to a lack of alternatives, they have been improving slowly and their chart has been stunning.

Price has pulled back after not holding on the Second Target at $10 and the price is just sitting on the First Target and the 0.5 Fib and the 50 WMA at $7.77 right now

A hold here and the price can return back up to the Second Target again and even go beyond and back up to its ATH line again at $14.50.

$ORCL

$ORCL has been able to keep its structure with ease and does not look to be under as much pressure as other companies right now.

We can see that a simple retest of the support line is likely next and a hold here at $147 and we are looking at Wave 4 complete, with a reversal next to complete Wave 5 at $234.

Losing the $147 level and the 200 WMA is looking very attractive at the blue line at $106 right now.

$INDA

I shared last week that $INDA had lost its rising wedge support line and now we are seeing a retest of this wedge line from below at $50, this is important because if there is a rejection at this line from below then the correction can be confirmed and $INDA will start moving down to the red fib support levels.

This is also what we would be watching for on the $SPY chart if the 200 Day MA is lost too.

I have no issue seeing a price overshoot a support level but its the rejection u...

$CL - SAFE HAVEN -

A traditional Safe Haven that typically does very well in a market correction, along with $PG and $KO is starting to make its move this week and turning quite bullish.

Price had pulled back to the blue support line at $86 and consolidated along this line for support for 2 months and took off this week when the market started selling....doing exactly its job as a safe haven.

This chart has not changed since the last time I uploaded it a few months ago.

A break above the 200 D...