The Long Investor

SILVER - TOP 10 - SAFE HAVEN -

No changes to the chart here but I wanted to keep everyone in the loop.

I still believe there is one more lower low to the 200 Day MA which is just above $31 now before this pull back is complete and we can go higher next to complete Wave 3 at the 1.618 Fib at $41.

The 50 WMA is also at $31 now just below the 0.5 Fib too, so this is a strong support range around $31.

Holding above this area and there is no change to our projection.

And for clarity:

I would much p...

$BIDU - WATCHLIST -

We are back above the 50 WMA and the 50 Day MA and 200 Day MA.

I believe $BIDU can make an attempt at the channel top line next at $94 but this will likely lead up to their ER which is expected on Weds the 21st before the market opens.

I will not be surprised at any stage to see $BIDU return to its 200 WMA at $121 right now.

Chinese ADRs are moving well and the HSI has broken above its own range bound blue line today.

$BABA has already recovered and I believe $BIDU can...

$HIMS - 10 YEAR PROJECTION -

TWEET:

$HIMS 10 YEAR PROJECTION

+1500% Gain in 10 years.

I believe they can achieve a $100 Billion Market Cap by 2030 and this aligns with $HIMS Revenue projection for 2030 too.

Price can reach $869 by 2034-2035....equating to a $200 Billion Market Cap.

Projections are conservative but measured.

$ACHR

$ACHR also reports after the market closes today and it is a company we like and have a position.

The breakout of the descending wedge has been bullish and the price action is moving comfortably in Wave 3 now.

We need a solid ER now to continue this higher.....they missed on their last ER so this is a variable that must be considered.

A good ER and the next target is the 1.618 Fib at $9.12 for Wave 3.

Downside risk is back down to the 200 Day MA which is moving to the ...

$SOFI

Beautiful day for our buys and the market.

$SOFI up +7% now and continues to move up our Wave 3 projection to the 1.618 Fib at $15.37.

Wave 5 target has not changed yet either at $18.

I believe $SOFI can return to the top blue line at $25 this year if they continue to report strong earnings.

I think the sensible approach now for those who are keen to add should be to wait until Wave 4 completes to add to catch the next wave higher.

$NVDA

Nice +5% bounce today with the market and we are within touching distance of the 50 WMA now at $124.65. and current price is at $122.

We are in between the 0.5 Fib and 0.618 Fib range and the triangle bottom line is at $127 too.

So between $119 - $127 is a very important range that can cause a rejection....so far every one appears bullish and the $SPY has broken above the 50 WMA but no retest of this level yet.

I believe if $NVDA can break above $127 and hold then it can mov...

$ASTS - WATCHLIST -

Ok ER after the close today.

We added on Friday on the $25.50 level and happy with the bounce with the market today

But now we need to see the ER out of the way and a positive reaction from the market

The implied move is -/+ 18% so I do expect a strong move over the next 24hrs.

A hold above the $25.50 blue line and I expect $ASTS to move up to the ATH level again at $39, flipping this level then to support and the Wave 3 target is $77.

Any concerns from the ER to...

$ADUR

Ok our Wave 5 target has been hit (1 cent off) so we should be planning for an abc pull back now.

There has been no rejection yet so we are just getting prepared right now.

I have added the 3.618 Fib at $8.18 incase this gets pumped by those late to the party but I believe we should be looking at our next buy entry.

The amber fib levels are now aligning very well with the 50 and 200 MA's on the 1hr and daily charts.

On the daily chart the 200 Day MA is moving to the 0....

$NIO TOP 20

We do have a 3 wave pull back where the price dropped down to inbetween the 0.38 Fib and the 0.5 Fib at $3.83 last week.

Price is now bouncing in the PM due to the tariff agreement.

If we can get a higher high next above $4.44 then the abc pull back is complete for me and the 1.618 Fib is the target at $6.12.....and what a beautiful sight that would be.

$VIX

$VIX has now dropped to the 200 WMA exactly in the PM as the market moves higher.

50 WMA is just slightly below this level too.

🔍 Understanding the VIX

• The VIX measures expected volatility in the next 30 days, based on S&P 500 options.

• Often called the "fear gauge" — high VIX = fear, low VIX = complacency.

✅ When to Consider Buying (Bullish Signal)

$PYPL - VALUATION ANALYSIS - TOP 20 -

$OSCR - VALUATION ANALYSIS - TOP 10 -

$BABA - VALUATION ANALYSIS - TOP 10 -

$ASML - VALUATION ANALYSIS - TOP 10 -

$JASMY - WATCHLIST -

A reminder of the $JASMY chart

We do have a breakout now

So we just need to see the price hold above the yellow line at $0.020 now and Wave 3 will get triggered I believe.

Hold tight or consider adding.

$NVO - WATCHLIST -

Patience, patience.

Price has only dropped down to in between the 0.5 - 0.618 Fib range as Trump plans to cut drug prices

Trump needed to make this announcement over the last 24hrs to give the US consumer a win

Because a tariff back track of 145% to 30% to China could easily be seen as weakness by Trump....so this drug price cut is a pleasant distraction.

Whether or not this price cut comes in at these levels is another thing.

Regardless, there are only a handfu...

US 10 YR

This is the big concern right now and could upset the party and we have been following this closely.

Price is now up +1.6% as the PM rages higher for the market

We have a higher high and higher low and a clear bounce on the 50 and 200 Day MA and bullish wedge top line.

If this was a stock we liked, we would be buying a lot of it right now with this bullish set up.

For this reason, the Wave B bounce for the market is still active as a possibility and we must not get dis...

$ELF - WATCHLIST -

I am just bringing this back to your attention again

No changes to the chart of course but I am seeing a lot of interest here, fundamentals look good and the price has held on the 0.78 FIB at $52 and now has bounced to $74 in the PM.

Still below the 200 WMA at $87 too.

We only have one wave in this bounce so far so I will watch for a Wave 2 pull back next and if we get a higher low....then this could be worth watching as a new impulse wave starts and this starts routing high...

$OSCR TOP 10

$OSCR is very similar to $HIMS right now, also had a shallow subwave 4 and now breaking for a higher nigh and in subwave 5 now.

Shallow subwaves can happen when catalysts move the market.....and a trade deal can be one of those catalysts.

The standard fib level we use for any wave 5 is the 2.618 Fib....but I have added in the higher extended fib levels in case there is a rush here from buyers.

We do know how severely this is undervalued.

So again, I am doing nothing he...

$HIMS

$HIMS is ripping higher in the PM now and even more so than most stocks in a heavy green PM.

There are no changes to the chart, except I added in the green 2 Fib and the 2.27 Fib levels.

We can see that the price action dropped down to the 0.236 Fib on Friday at $49.38 and found support, this is a shallow pull back for a wave 4, as we typically see wave 4 pull back to the 0.38 Fib....but these are subwaves and I do not like playing subwaves, they move fast and catch a lot of peopl...

The LIT Sunday News

US-China Reach Tentative Trade Agreement to Cut Deficit

Headline Deal Announced, Details Expected Monday

Top US officials announced “substantial progress” in trade talks with China after two days of high-level negotiations in Geneva, with a formal announcement due Monday. The outcome is described as a deal aim...

$SPY TOP 20

Important individual ER's out this week for our group but not many in terms of Market Movers as we have experienced over the last 2 weeks.

I have wrote a long commentary under the $QQQ chart so please review this chart too in conjunction with the $SPY as both are moving perfectly in sync right now.

So what I will be watching for this week is how the price action behaves testing the 50 WMA.

Details regarding the China - US talks will be shared tomorrow which will be interesti...

$QQQ TOP 20

The $QQQ, $SPY and $DJI all finished at the same spot this week, testing their own 50 WMA.

This is important and as I have said a number of times now, history has shown us that a retest of the 50 WMA typically happens before any direction is decided upon.

Any one who can say right now that the direction is to new all time highs or to new lows is guessing and gambling and we do not behave like that in here, we manage risk and prepare for what happens when we get confirmation.

$V TOP 20

Routing back to its ATH level again at $366 and their ER is comfortably behind them.

Top Executive sold $2 million worth of stock this week, so consider this in your decision making process if you want to add here.

I believe a break above $366 and there is at least +10% on the table here to complete Wave 5.

But adding $V when it completes its Primary ABC correction will be more beneficial to me.

$TSLA TOP 20

I can not fault our chart so far, the price action has not given us any surprises.

Price is also above all important MA's now too in spite of a very terrible ER this season.

My one concern is that the pull back since $488 in Nov is arguably in 5 waves.

So if $TSLA only bounces in 3 waves next and rejects and the amber fib levels, particularly between $351 - $383 then we are looking at a Wave B bounce here too and Wave C will be next to a lower low below $214.

But hones...

$SHOP TOP 20

I uploaded this chart post earnings, so this is just a recap.

Price has bounced in 3 waves since the buy zone back to the channel top line at $100, there has been a clear rejection now post earnings and with a 3 wave bounce, we know this to be corrective and would expect a lower low next and a move down in 5 waves.

ER missed on EPS and there was caution advised due to the ongoing tariffs.

I think waiting for the price action to fall again into the Buy Zone makes a lot of sen...

$SE TOP 20

$SE reports its ER on Tuesday before the market opens and we can see that the price action is moving almost identical to how $PLTR moved leading up to its own ER with a double top likely forming.

There has already been a 3 wave pull back for Wave A but this potential Wave B has also bounced in 3 waves, which again aligns with what happened with $PLTR too.

So I would not be playing the earnings game here and believe the market thinks this can go lower next

Double tops are not...

$PYPL TOP 20

$PYPL tested the top of the consolidation range this week at $71 but finished just at this level, so there is no breakout yet to the Wave 3 target at $72.84.

I have a lot of conviction behind $PYPL and believe this will move higher and back to its Mean Range above $145 in the future.

I have added on the pull back and in profits now and happy with my position, it is not a small position either, as we have bought in 2024 in the consolidation range too.

$NKE TOP 20

We got a test of the $60 level this week, which we know is the Covid Low level from 2020.

So flipping this level back to support will be a strong indication that the market believes the worst is behind $NKE.

Right now, $NKE is still in the Buy Zone and I have no issue adding under $60 but I was focused on adding other positions this week.

Below $60 in the Buy Zone or even converting $60 back to support would both be suitable buy signals for me.

$MSFT TOP 20

No changes to the chart or commentary here either, I believe $MSFT is in a Subwave 3 bounce and finished the week testing the 1.618 Fib at $438 and finished the week just above this level.

A pull back next to the 50 WMA from above at $418 or the previous support level at $408 would be suitable for Subwave 4 next before going higher.

A breakdown from here and a drop below $394 and I believe $MSFT will once again drop down into the Buy Zone and even go lower....which would align wit...