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~ Feb 2021 - Mid Month Updates ~

Alright lets talk!


Inflation is the name of 2021, no sign of any cool offs YET...


Force of Will Trading Card Game - So the new release is in coming in 2 days! The demand is higher than i have seen in a long time. Most stores are sold out. Box prices are almost at $100 already on the secondary market. I was able to lock in 300 boxes vs. 500 boxes from the previous set. I cant tell if this is a side effect of inflation in all categories or Force of will continuing to hold its own. Previous booster box releases continue to hold solid prices with 50% of releases posting strong returns within 12 months.

MTG - Kaldheim Collector boxes - are starting to feel like an official reduction in print run across the board. I still have NOT been able to get anymore boxes from anywhere in the country.

MTG - Kaldheim - Commander Deck Set - To my surprise, this is the STRONGEST performing Kaldheim product. I have ordered extra to keep it in stock due to the continuing sales. I never thought the Commander deck set would be performing bettwe than Zen commander...

MTG - TimeSpiral Remastered - Rumors are swirling about a limited printing simliar to previous master series boxes. This has pushed box prices up nationwide. I personally hope this is false but i dont know. I would rather sell MORE boxes at a lower price instead of selling less boxes at a higher price so everyone can get the product. At the end of the day, Distributors and stores make the same amount of money, so im a believer that restock waves should take place so more end user customers get the product. Do not underestimate this product, it is going to be a huge success. Will be offered to the patrons at release date next month.

MTG - Strixhaven - Way to soon for my opinion, but the hype around this standard set is higher than i have seen in a long time. No furhter opinion at this time, way to far off.

MTG - Reserved List - I feel we are starting to enter a consolidation period where prices are going to stabilize at the high levels. I see very little downside. The biggest variable in 2021 is that ALL big stores have raised the buylist prices to record high levels, this will prevent any form of decline due to the desperate nature of stores trying to get inventory. DO NOT SELL, you will regret it.

MTG - Sealed Boxes - The market has fully realized how wrong it was when pricing sealed boxes. The market has ALSO realized how little product actually exists sealed in 2021. This is reflected in the prices on ebay/tcgplayer. I see absolutly no downside risk even at todays prices. I know they look insane and expensive, but you aint seen nothing yet. In 5 years, it will seen out of this world. This is not due to card prices going up, this is due to supply approaching zero.

MTG - FLASHY CARDS - Use a lot of caution buying into any single flashy card in any set in modern times. While the sealed boxes are special. THe single cards are the highest risk item on the market. I am extremly bearish and negative on the value of any standard card or flashy card in 2021. BUT....wizards will adjust and instill confidence again, at that point in time, we can take a closer look. Trust me, they know whats going on with Flesh and Blood and pokemon. They are seeing the power of rarity/scarcity and truely collectible items. The jealously will cause a behavior change.

Pokemon - I have started recieving small amounts of pokemon booster boxes for previous sets like vivid voltage and Darkness ablaze, but the quantity is so low, i cant run a sale or do anything realistic with a couple cases. BUT....i am hoping for big numbers on the Battle styles release coming up, and i plan on offering the patrons as a test run.

Pokemon - Market - I have seen some times of single cards and vintage single cards leveling out and retracing downward on different wotc era sealed boxes. While it doesnt mean much since the prices went up so much, its irrelevant. I firmly believe sealed prices of ALL pokemon boxes will hold. I firmly believe graded pokemon cards are going to DROP. The backlog at PSA for graded pokemon cards is rumored to be 10,000+ cards. It will take time, but those cards will flood population reports and cool off the market.

Carta Mundi - PRINTING - In the next 9 months, we are going to see additional capacity come online for MTG , pokemon and Flesh and blood. Be aware, this will impact the market, but i dont know how or if it is only short term due to the demand.

Flesh and Blood - Crucible - I still believe LSS will eventually get a CRU unlmited reprint later on. They would be silly not to. This will have no impact on 1st edition boxes. But needs to be done to keep playable cards cheap for deck building and actual gameplay. Cru 1st edition should remain stable at its full market price between $750-$1250 with short term swings due to stores unloading and people buying. 

Flesh and Blood - Cold Foils - I believe these unique and very rare cards have a lot of space to increase. I will continue to buy Cold foils across the board as long as prices stay where they are.

Flesh and Blood - Monarch - Remember LSS increased the print run, but we have a 400% increase in the amount of new stores ordering FaB due to the brand/name recognition spreading. Many stores dont care about the game and will simply dump the product on ebay for a huge profit...and thats ok. Remember LSS believes stores should actually make healthy profit margins. This used to be normal back in the 90's and 00's. For some weird reason stores making money is evil in 2021. But when stores shutdown, everyone gets "disappointed". The free market will dictate the value and always will. If it is overpriced, buyers will back off and sales will stall out...prices will drop until the true value is determined by the public.

Flesh and Blood - October 2021 - This is the 2 year anniversary of when i introduced Flesh and Blood to the patrons and youtube. This will mark the most unique and special sale I have ever ran and will be the most controvsial 24 hours ever. It will be beyond Legendary.

Flesh and Blood - Blitz Decks - These will also be offered to the patrons, right after the 1st edition Monarch sale. We are still working out the details. Once the public sees these decks and the unique "specifics" to them. They will be a very hot item.

Argent Saga - I have spoken with the owner of ARG in regards to Argent Saga. THe game has a nice following and is a actually good. The owner and company have ended production of argent saga. I dont believe any new releases are coming. It is a shame...since this is the end result of management :-(

Weiss Schwarz - I have still not made any videos or commented on this market. I continue to expand heavily into this and have bought out 3 stores worth of sealed boxes so far. The amount of potential and long term growth in Weiss sealed boxes is something i have overlooked and regret missing out on. I am trying to play catchup now.

BuddyFight - This is one of the weirdest things i have seen in a long time. The entire sealed market of buddyfight boxes has gone up between +100% to +500%. The sealed boxes are almost impossible to find on the open market. I get messages abotu once a week from patrons and public emails for sealed boxes and do sell some my request only. Im not sure whats going on.

Marvel Trading Cards - I cannot believe the massive growth in sealed Marvel boxes from the 90's. I would use EXTREME CAUTION on buying into these price spikes. There are many stores/warehouses that have large supplies of old sealed boxes of this stuff. 

Digimon - I still have no interest in carrying the product line. If the game can go 2 years and get stronger simliar to FaB, then i will take a closer look. Bandai is still a poorly ran company with abad history of running games into the ground. Way to risky.

Crypto - I personally believe Crypto is a real thing and is going to be a larger part of the future. I dont know how it will evolve and what place it will take in the long term. Im not smart enough in that field to discuss it with a valid opinion. I personally hold 131,000 Dogecoins, because Lindsay said its cute and its a meme. Cost basis around .015. I have no idea what will happen, but its fun. i Dont consider it an investment.



Conclusion - The world is better so far in 2021 when compared to 2020. While tremendous uncertainty and segments of the population are still struggling to adjust in a post covid world. I see tremendous opportunity for people willing to go all in and grind it. I belive Social media will continue to expand and take over everything in modern lives. I believe this comes at a huge cost to the fabric of society but no one truely knows the long term impact and how it will play out. I believe the culture wars and politics will continue to be injected around the world into all aspects of life. Again...i believe no one knows what the long term impact that will cause. Good or bad...it is unpredictable. I feel the biggest risk to modern society is not aliens, nuclear war or Covid. I think it is the extreme wealth being created in pockets of society while the middle class is annihiliated. The massive increase in depression and mental health issues in which, can be connected to social media and the feeling of being left behind. And of course many of things. 


I  still believe 99.9% of all humans are good people. 

I also believe 99.9% of all people think everyones out to get them.


Thanks again everyone for another legendary month

-Rudy





Comments

Battle Styles Build & Battle boxes.

Brian

Ima still waiting for some pokemom cards Rudy 😂, could you give us any idea of what type of pokemom product you’ll have in stock such as ,elite trainers boxes, booster boxes, pin collection... etc

Force of Will is making a pretty significant comeback in hosting events and as always taking care of players and stores. I've already locked in two boxes of the new set for opening with a local store and very excited to lock in a case of the new set. The game will always be Tier 2 as many of the players believe, but the value of the cards are there and there are a lot of low-print run sets that are extremely sought after. - Little Timmy

Mason McCann

i picked up the case of argent saga right before you offered fab, now that they are canceling the game wonder what to do with it

ronald a zecca

Janet Yellen made public that central banks are looking into using crypto currency (underpinning technologies), and importantly, “It’s an extremely inefficient way of conducting transactions. And the amount of energy that’s consumed in processing those transactions is staggering. But it is a highly speculative asset, and I think people should beware. It can be extremely volatile, and I do worry about potential losses that investors in it could suffer.” I think she may be hinting that the regulatory compliance that will come with central banks picking up crypto is going to crush things like dogecoin.

Erik Skiles

I love these occasional posts, keep it up Rudy!!

Thomas Truong

Just curious, is the pricing on time spiral remastered going to be competitive versus the market? I don’t think we’ll see $150 anywhere after this potential Amazon blunder, but what should we expect for a box / case?

If you go to fabtcg.com under Game> Card Galleries > Crucible of War you can see after scrolling down a bit that they have Unlimited now listed with a print date set to TBD...iirc this was added about a month ago...so heres hoping as I've just gotten in to the game and missed the boat on these first three sets 1st edtion prints.

Derek Argetsinger

I'm honestly not surprised about the Kaldheim Commander boxes but this is just my guess. They offer something both brand new and a twist on an old favorite; where as the Zendikar Pre-cons were more of the same (Boros equipment and Simic out-value super ramp/stomp). Kaldheim though gives us something new and fun. Golgari Elves. Elves as a tribe are huge in MTG and have a big following; plus adding in Black gives both new and veteran commander players a reason to get this and either play it as-is or add in cards they have and add in Black/Swamp effects. Azorious Foretell takes Azorious in a fun new direction (not control/hate-bearer/taxing) and focuses on a brand new mechanic from the set; Foretell. So I think these are selling better because Wizards kept the $20ish/ea price, changed them to include 8 unique cards each, and offer a theme that is either new or a new twist on an old favorite; which makes these appealing to a wide demographic.

looking forward to monach and time spiral as well just bought 2 cases of kaladesh for 270 a box (prob the biggest timmy on the block) but looking forward to upcoming years

Thank you for the thoughts, Rudy. I look forward to Time Spiral and Monarch and hope that the upward trend of collectibles of every Avenue continues.

Eric D

And Ponder isn't even uncommon. Same with the Opt they already spoiled. It drives me nuts that they're like bUt ThE eXpAnSiOn SyMbOl WiLl OnLy bE UnCoMmOn oR rArEr!?! Sorry, a common is a common, no matter how much you dress it up in royal robes.

David Brosseau

Thanks for the post Rudy, I always enjoy your analysis and your thoughtful deconstruction of the market swings and movements. I look forward to these posts every month

Aaron Paolozzi

Thanks for the comprehensive update. I look forward to picking up a case of each Pokémon set as you make them available. Also, hope you aren't losing too much sleep with the grind. Respect.

Always a fantastic read, Rudy.

Jim Volin

Thanks for your thoughts, Rudy! Looking forward to October...intriguing.

Lauren Winsby

So did i read this correctly? October 2021 will have a legendary flesh and blood sale?

The sage of cardboard has spoken, listen to his words🌮🌮🌮

Man... October / November is going to crush my wallet. I’m beyond ready for your Monarch and October sell, but don’t be surprised if we see news in the year about a Evolutions 2 type of set for Pokémon in the fall. Really great stuff here. Thanks for the effort and thought that went into this post!

Beyond legendary? As in fabled?

Craig Mckenzie

I really wish you would expand on the collectibles market more.

BrewCrew75

Fantastic update! 10/21!!

Bryan Dombi

What a beast. Terrific post.

Andrew Schulz

Does anyone know the best way to shop around for the Marvel 90s sealed boxes? Do I just try ebay? Any tips to avoid scam boxes?

Selesnyan Envoy

I know the community is calling the spell archive "the new inventions, and one garunteed in every pack!!" But until we see the list we don't know what the value/Ramifications of the slot are. I assume its super top heavy, and going to be similar in Rarity distribution as other similar slots. Like we know its 63 slots and that means its mostly "uncommons" IMO. Its going to be a lot of Ponder like cards IMO.

Wow, I’m super excited for October now.

Philosopher Rudy is like Watching Tom Brady play football. Always worth time to see and reflect on it. Excited about October is an understatement. We never can tell what's ahead. Just chin up, smile on, do the best ya can with what situation you were born into.

Very little stock out there

Darren Welter

Look at Darksteel & Dissension & Evetide

Darren Welter

Seal boxes are going crazy.

Darren Welter

Black swan 🦢 event incoming lmao

Peter Hauge

All I heard was diamond hands for reserve list! Seriously though. Ive bought less and less magic to play with over the years. Even I'm hyped for some of those strixhaven cards. Especially the japanese alternates.

Marcos Rivera (Jedi168)

Strixhaven hype is around the new versions of Kaladesh inventions, and JP alternate art memes again like War of the Spark. Set is going to be hype unlike the ho-hum Kaldheim. People want Demonic Tutors again too.

Grew up playing magic but im now most stoked on FaB...cant wait for the legendary double decker taco deal this fall...

I'm glad FaB is still doing well. Loved seeing your cold foil collection sir

Timmys keep selling their RL cards to Rudy because they hit a squeeze in their life. But yes Rudy is correct, stop selling. I'm sure many are kicking themselves that unloaded their wad early 2020.

What an interesting time to be alive! So glad I jumped into this card board life!

Will Bradshaw

Curious if the pokemon battle styles will be a Friday night sale with limits?

It's been rough here in Texas, no lie. But sure as secret lairs will be printed on, the world will still turn. All we can do is keep our hands on the 💎 and 👀 on the markets. Pounce on the value and snub the jokers trying to make us fit into their efficiency curves and projected models.

NooNNiTe

Still buying throne extended art foils (and some graded copies) and HODLing my doge coin see you retards on the moon!

Can't wait to order some more cases! Rudy is a true inspiration! His honesty is what the world needs...

pokemon stuff will sell out within 1 hour, i dont have enough to keep it permeanetly in stock

Rudy The Magic Guy

lol

Rudy The Magic Guy

Everything is going to get a 30% boost, or higher. Not because the product is worth more, rather the dollar is worth less (worthless). My eyes are on Ravnica stuff. Guild Kits, sealed boxes, intro decks...I want it all. Kaldheim rips. Strixhaven will rip as well. Here we go 2021!

Patrick Deitner

trying to get it ready for friday

Rudy The Magic Guy

lol....yea yea i know

Rudy The Magic Guy

Is it October yet? 😳👀👀😳

Neil Eldridge

Thanks Rudy!!

Love that post. Keep it up Rudy .

Great update!! Definitely some useful information

Are pokemon booster boxes gonna be as available as the draft booster boxes of magic?

Rudy, You forgot to update us on Wyvern CCG. Any news on Return to Return to Kingdom set?

Reed Stiles

Thanks for the insight

Jeff

Will you be offering FoW product at release or waiting?

Jerry Ogren

Thanks Rudy!!! Always at it!

Jeremy Kennedy

<3 can’t wait to buy BattleStyles and future Pokémon product from you Rudy ❤️. You da man!

My GOD Rudy!! It’s 1AM Florida time!! Go to Bed before you wear yourself out my good man!!! PLEASE!!!

JayZee

I’m hype for the new FoW set yee Can’t wait to crack some packs and save some boxes for the future

First

Matt Vanselow


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