Caleb Williams Week 12 Analysis
Added 2024-11-25 19:05:35 +0000 UTCThis was a good one. Lock in and enjoy, QBSPC. -JTO
Comments
Susan Boyle = Brooklyn Nine reference?
Lorenzo Andrade
2024-12-01 09:21:14 +0000 UTCGood news is that the first half of the next video should take 10 mins.
Bill Cahoon
2024-11-29 22:23:19 +0000 UTCThe most literal DJ effort formula, based on what you said on the video would be: 2’s(E)=wtf?*gtfo
Kevin
2024-11-28 08:53:25 +0000 UTCI decided to use an equation for effort that always equaled 0 because you said you wanted to use the graphic only when DJ’s effort on a play was trash. Plus, I just think it’s both funny and true to define effort by the number of fucks someone gives
Kevin
2024-11-28 08:46:06 +0000 UTCDJ Effort Equation: 2’s(ef)=0t+R^2b/#fg DJ’s effort = 0 targets + required to block divided by number of fucks given. Because 0 fucks will be given if DJ is not targeted or must block on a play, the effort equation will always equal 0 effort.
Kevin
2024-11-28 08:35:52 +0000 UTCIf I were ever in a scenario in which I had to correctly answer a trivia question in order to live, I would pray to God the question would be "Using only this Chicago Bears Offensive all 22 film from Week 12 of the 2024-2025 season, correctly identify the player who signed a very lucrative, mostly guaranteed, contract extension in the previous offseason." Easiest. Question/Answer. Of. My Life.
Justin Henry
2024-11-28 02:55:24 +0000 UTCTyler Locket is also a big guy when it comes to giving yourself up as a WR
Braxton Myers
2024-11-27 23:29:05 +0000 UTCE^2=MC obvious play on E=MC^2. Would be Effort to the power of 2 equals Malicious Compliance.
Jason Telford
2024-11-27 19:27:10 +0000 UTCIs it possible that when Rome had the pick play on 4th and 4 which opened up Keenan Allen, that CW18 was worried if would be OPI on Rome if he threw it to Keenan Allen?
David Micah Ritchie
2024-11-27 18:11:32 +0000 UTC2^e=? you would say this as "2 to the power of effort." Could turn that into "the power of 2's effort is questionable" or something. When writing it out, e would be a superscript. Also since e is a constant the real solution to 2^e is ~6.58.
Matt Fries
2024-11-27 17:19:03 +0000 UTCDJ x Effort = 🥱
Joseph Heidenreich
2024-11-27 16:56:48 +0000 UTCSaw your reaction to Jeff Saturday’s comments. What’s stopping the Bears from firing Flus Thursday and then turning around and hiring Mike Vrabel Friday? If they believe he’s the guy, why not do something radical, a departure from your head against the wall, mom and pop past? Gives him time to evaluate Brown and staff as well as establish a foundation with the players going into the offseason. He’ll also be able to work with Poles on who he views are core guys.
Curtis Grant
2024-11-27 15:11:31 +0000 UTClol
The QB School
2024-11-27 14:45:33 +0000 UTCHow is DJ getting away with this nonsense?? This not normal in NFL locker rooms?
Brandon Harris
2024-11-27 04:45:19 +0000 UTCLimited*.. just like the route tree
Lish
2024-11-26 23:29:44 +0000 UTCppl at the front door, kids home, tree trimming. No panic in this program JT
Sean McLeod
2024-11-26 20:36:34 +0000 UTCMahalo 🤙 One of my old ESL buddies was half Hawaiian and he put me onto it. Hadn't thought about it in years.
Eric
2024-11-26 19:58:58 +0000 UTCyup. north shore. nice haole.
The QB School
2024-11-26 18:31:18 +0000 UTCloafs are usually D stats imo but ya i get ya
The QB School
2024-11-26 18:30:40 +0000 UTCWhat's funny is that Eberflus has a "loaf" system that tracks all the times you don't go full effort. There's no way he hasn't been called out unless that system has gone away.
Mac B
2024-11-26 18:21:46 +0000 UTCWe really appreciate the effort to create some fun with the effort equation stuff, references (north shore?), and general Xs and Os. Interesting to see Thomas Brown's impact this week but overall, it's tough to get locked in seeing the same problems week after week without much progress. My Bears 📒 looks pretty much the same since we joined. The diminishing returns from a learning perspective makes these easily our least favorite breakdowns each week.
Eric
2024-11-26 17:43:57 +0000 UTCPlease God make an hour long cut-up of 2 and just post it to X – fuck, it could be three hours long
Jack MacArthur
2024-11-26 17:42:58 +0000 UTC#2*Effort < 100
SP
2024-11-26 16:53:21 +0000 UTCThis is so clean.
Eric
2024-11-26 15:44:32 +0000 UTCIf it's a positive number, he was a value added on the play or for the day. I equated effort and value because they are functionally the same with him. When he tries and routes are tailored to his skill set, he adds value.
Eric
2024-11-26 15:41:22 +0000 UTCKBD, which is a modified entropy formula for Kirkland brand Deebo: Δ E(2) = -1.5K + -2.0B + 3.0D + -1.3W K = # of plays he is the 2nd read or below. B = # of plays with a blocking assignment. D = # of plays he runs Deebo routes W = # of play running non-Deebo routes (Waldron routes) This shows both his effort and value added over the course of a game and for individual plays. Play around with the weights as you see fit; I'm still on my 1st cup of coffee.
Eric
2024-11-26 15:39:34 +0000 UTCThat's for sure
Dan Kunze
2024-11-26 15:16:39 +0000 UTCtoo easy
The QB School
2024-11-26 15:07:33 +0000 UTChaha
The QB School
2024-11-26 15:07:20 +0000 UTCi guess for me this looks like 2xeffort which it aint
The QB School
2024-11-26 15:06:22 +0000 UTCDJM formula. E = (F^5 + S^2 - T^5 - L^10). F = when DJM is first read, S = when DJM is second read; T = when DJM is third read; L = DJM is 4th read or later or the decoy. Put zeros in place of the variable when he’s not that read. Goes from positive effort to dramatically negative effort as he’s a later read.
Jeffrey Stoll
2024-11-26 12:31:04 +0000 UTCFor the DJ Moore equation, you are trying to solve for an unknown, defined as "x". So if "X" is the percentage of effort, an equation would look like this maybe: 2effort = X%
Dan Kunze
2024-11-26 12:20:44 +0000 UTCwhat are the odds we see a video about the other 300 yd QB in this game 😁
Erik Martinez
2024-11-26 09:38:48 +0000 UTCU said it plainly about the disconnect between 18 and 2. For me it started in Houston when Caleb was getting slaughtered and DJ was showing him up, throwing his helmet and waving his arms all around when he didn't get the ball. For a rookie in his first prime time game to get that treatment, from his own guy ... That shit has gotta stick with you. And good for Caleb for keeping a long memory if that's the case. And if all my conspiracy theory is happening, you gotta trade DJ in the season.
sean quincey
2024-11-26 09:10:38 +0000 UTCPlease put together the cut up of DJ and his minimal effort. It’s like some fans think we’re making this up. My question is why do you believe he’s doing this? He gets paid, and now this bull jive?? Like you said, it’s nowhere near good enough and someone definitely should be in his face.
Brandon Harris
2024-11-26 08:45:50 +0000 UTCFWIW, I very much care about the holiday light customization options and the way it's being forced on you, apparently, by whatever HOA or similar situation.
Jay Rigdon
2024-11-26 08:38:59 +0000 UTCIf 2 has 7 touches, but is given 6 clear routes and 18 blocking assignments, he will have an effort rating of 0.291, or 29.1% for the game
Cody Britt
2024-11-26 05:08:44 +0000 UTCE(2) = T/(CR+BA). E is effort, T is touches, CR is clear routes, BA is blocking assignments. Will give the perfect % every time
Cody Britt
2024-11-26 05:02:13 +0000 UTCwhat coach would you like to see with Caleb next year? Do you think Ben Johnson would be a good fit? (he’s obviously the hot name but works with Jared Goff obviously much different players dynamically)
Jackson Howarth
2024-11-26 04:53:25 +0000 UTCE/DJ = X%
Jackson Howarth
2024-11-26 04:51:22 +0000 UTCE(2)=0 where E is an effort function. If DJ is trying then it equals 1, but if he's not trying then it equals 0.
Mak
2024-11-26 04:11:43 +0000 UTCDJME = PCHGTB * 1 DJME (DJ Moore Effort) = PCHGTB (Percentage Chance He Gets The Ball) * (1) Example: DJ has a 25% chance of getting the ball on the play. DJME = .25 * (1) = 25%
Mike P
2024-11-26 03:15:58 +0000 UTC2 ≠ E
Lish
2024-11-26 01:44:18 +0000 UTCThat’s a very good point here
Bill Miller
2024-11-26 01:11:50 +0000 UTCI think Caleb’s toss to Keenan on the sail was ballsy but he knew what he was doing. No way he zips that shit that hard if all he saw was the back of the one defender. He knew he had the luxury of DJ in the flat & decided to show off
Brennan Merkle
2024-11-26 00:56:31 +0000 UTCMy opinion on Thomas Brown telling Caleb to be superman is that it's in response to Eberflus pushing his quarterbacks to not make mistakes at any cost. It was obvious with Fields and with Caleb until Waldron was fired that the quarterbacks were overthinking and playing timid.
Rob
2024-11-26 00:54:36 +0000 UTCLove to see that Caleb’s progressing. Gives me hope for the future even with this godforsaken franchise. But what’s with Caleb’s sideline deep ball? Feel like he’s airmailing it every time.
Aaron
2024-11-26 00:36:39 +0000 UTCGoddamnit I love this show!
Dominic Cassata
2024-11-25 23:49:18 +0000 UTCbig thanks for the express reaction--would prefer it hooked directly to my veins but this is the absolute next best option
Jim Andresen
2024-11-25 23:31:04 +0000 UTCJT... it's finally happening. Get this kid an ounce of coaching and let the good times roll.
Jim Andresen
2024-11-25 23:30:02 +0000 UTCgood to know, I figured the Deebo comp was limited route tree and yac ability but thats funny that it extends to effort and demeanor on film too
Ryan Sharma
2024-11-25 23:04:50 +0000 UTCE=DJ ²
Shaun Dekker
2024-11-25 22:58:48 +0000 UTCJT's gone over this in several 49er breakdowns but Deebo tends to take plays off a opportune times for himself that tend to really stand out, particularly when it's a big down. He commends him when he's given the ball in space and makes a play, something he's as good at as anyone in the league, but he's not a true WR1 because of his inability to draw the eyes of the defense to open up teammates, primarily because of his lack of effort.
ShyGuy
2024-11-25 22:53:55 +0000 UTCwelcome. i talk about it most vids. imo, needs to be in there more.
The QB School
2024-11-25 22:51:28 +0000 UTCha
The QB School
2024-11-25 22:50:56 +0000 UTCBrady mentioned not lofting it enough for one instance and it's always that similar throw/miss. My uneducated guess is excitement of a big play so would need more experience/calmness.
randysavageishere
2024-11-25 22:33:56 +0000 UTCJTO what do you see in Caleb's game that has him missing the streaking sideline 30 yard open throws. Is it mechanics, timing, or just lacking confidence?
Kyle
2024-11-25 22:19:18 +0000 UTC+Result=E(2)
Matthew Edmark
2024-11-25 22:15:10 +0000 UTC85 involved early and 2 being used like Deebo? JTO victory lap incoming! If we get some more 15 the victory lap is gonna turn into a full fucking sprint!
Cody Britt
2024-11-25 22:05:35 +0000 UTC2=BBL+ i Guy bbl= (Bad body language)
Sean McLeod
2024-11-25 21:57:01 +0000 UTCHey JT just joined the community, excited to jump in. One question I have for you, what’re thoughts on Rome so far? He has games and spurts where he looks like a dude but also long silent stretches. Maybe that’s just the Bears offense overall, but wondering if you see anything one way or another. Either way love the videos, thank you
Lloyd Shatkin
2024-11-25 21:55:11 +0000 UTC2 things JT. I think once 13 is gone next year, whoever comes in will and needs to see what 85 can be in the passing game. He has evolved so much and into a really good player. Is there a reason you think Caleb has been missing these throws to the right(back to back to Rome near the endzone), seem like it is the throw he has struggled with the most this year. Love the videos, Bear Down baby
Jake Sellner
2024-11-25 21:44:15 +0000 UTCEffort = Load/Mechanical Advantage, or E=L/M.A. Effort = Load / Moore's Attitude. Effort goes down if his workload is low (numerator) or if his attitude is high (denominator). He is working hard when he knows he's getting extra looks, and when his attitude is nice and low
Benjamin Fink
2024-11-25 21:15:48 +0000 UTCAlso not sure if you've seen this, but there was a clip of DJM from some podcast this offseason where he said he doesn't watch football other than when he has to. Basically said he sees football strictly as a job and it's not truly his passion
DrinkMyCola
2024-11-25 20:48:16 +0000 UTCE(subscript 2) = ?
Luke Jones
2024-11-25 20:44:46 +0000 UTCEo2 for effort of 2
DrinkMyCola
2024-11-25 20:42:08 +0000 UTCnice. welcome
The QB School
2024-11-25 20:27:50 +0000 UTCit feels like every time you compare DJ to Deebo it’s with a negative connotation. obviously deebo isn’t a wr1 but he’s a pretty elite weapon no? the guy was first team all pro in ‘21. maybe I need to watch more of your Purdy breakdowns for your thoughts on him lol 😂.
Ryan Sharma
2024-11-25 20:08:25 +0000 UTCDiving in baby. I am the been waiting guy from twitter hahaha. All love JT. Excited for this
Jake Sellner
2024-11-25 19:54:42 +0000 UTCGood outcome. Eberflus is gone. Caleb progressing each week. He’s gunna be special. How about Eberflus soft defense in OT as well?
Alec Hoffman
2024-11-25 19:50:15 +0000 UTCOutcome= E/2
Nicholas Morrissey
2024-11-25 19:38:19 +0000 UTC100. the E is tough for 2 in this one
The QB School
2024-11-25 19:25:54 +0000 UTC"This was a good one" is all I ever want to see before watching a JT video. We're still behind in the SMDH/"This was a good one" ratio, but I believe in Caleb to turn it around.
Eric Dodge
2024-11-25 19:24:55 +0000 UTCShow me J Love!
Nathan Perisin
2024-11-25 19:13:49 +0000 UTCLocked in! 🐻⬇️ Ps, I’m the guy on Twitter who posted that video of DJ Moore blocking lol. Film don’t lie!
Quincy Butler
2024-11-25 19:13:33 +0000 UTCHell yes. Best way to start a Monday
Gavin Hougo
2024-11-25 19:08:55 +0000 UTCur the man JT thank ya again! 👍🏽
Joaquin
2024-11-25 19:07:16 +0000 UTCLFG
smith22vikes
2024-11-25 19:06:28 +0000 UTC
