The Official 2022-23 RAB Offseason Plan
Added 2022-11-14 13:00:13 +0000 UTCComments
Mike! 1 for 1 with the Rizzo signing! Question though, how does it work with the luxury tax? Is it a $17 mill on the tax or $20 because of the $6 mil buyout?
Mark P in VT
2022-11-16 00:24:00 +0000 UTCKeep things simple: re-sign Judge/Rizzo/Carp, have Cabrera/DJLM/Peraza play 2B/3B/SS (put JD and IKF on bench with Hicks), trade Gleyber for one of the D-Bags' cheap LH outfielders, non-tender Higgy (use Brantly or Muscles as the backup until Wells is brought up). Gives us $20M in wiggle room for midseason moves, keeps our farm stocked, helps our lineup balance and doesn't rely on old/injured players getting better. DJLM (R) Judge (R) Rizzo (L) Stanton (R) Bader (R) Cabrera (L) Peraza (R) Trevino (R) D-Bags LF (L) OK not the best lineup but PLAY TEH KIDZ
DocBob
2022-11-15 23:14:00 +0000 UTCHey Mike, one thing I'm noticing is you didn't include Volpe into that final WAR calculation! Might change the final calculus a bit!
Mark Bauer
2022-11-15 21:44:00 +0000 UTCThat sounds a lot like the 5 years from 17-22 where they took advantage of cheap Judge, Gary, Gleyber and Sevy contracts. Greg Bird's cheap contract too!
John
2022-11-15 19:09:48 +0000 UTCI keep hoping, Chris. :-). This will be an interesting test.
MikeD
2022-11-15 19:05:45 +0000 UTCWhy would the Rangers trade Lowe?
Nick Fugitt
2022-11-15 15:26:24 +0000 UTCGreat stuff as usual, Mike. Conforto’s shoulder scares the hell out of me, but you’ve made a convincing argument. The IKF for Gio trade made me laugh my ass off when I saw it.
Nick Fugitt
2022-11-15 15:22:08 +0000 UTCNope. Still has one year of arbitration. The Marlins had an option for 2023, but declined it because he'll get a lower salary through arb. He appeared on a top 50 FA list recently but that was a mistake.
Michael Axisa
2022-11-15 14:11:15 +0000 UTCI really loathe moving Torres, but for a possible front end lefty starter is the kind of move that I can get behind - not so many of these other Torres rumors for slightly above average players that don't move the needle much.
Chris
2022-11-15 04:06:57 +0000 UTCI won't hold my breathe on Hal doing that - believe it when I see it.
Chris
2022-11-15 04:05:02 +0000 UTCNot the kind of the move the Yankees *should* make, necessarily, given how. many question marks the rest of the lineup has right now - but absolutely the moves the Yankees *would* make because it requires committing such little free agent dollars. I'm on the Conforto bandwagon and like the idea, but the fact that he's mostly an option because this FO consistently is looking for Plan B's and C's instead of obvious A's is very aggravating and deflating as a fan.
Chris
2022-11-15 04:03:48 +0000 UTCMike thanks so much for this - it seems like an enormous amount of work and I just want you to know how much I appreciate all that you put into this and all of your posts.
roadrider
2022-11-15 02:59:37 +0000 UTCJoey Wendel is a free agent, no?
The Original Drew
2022-11-15 02:06:29 +0000 UTCOne of my favorite pieces of content to look forward to each year. Thanks Mike
kyle
2022-11-14 22:36:22 +0000 UTCIt feels like Peraza has already been traded and we just don’t know what trade yet. But agreed with Dominguez (Bader’s contract ends right when he should be ready) and Volpe (IKF was a clear stop gap). They need to buy (literally) the next player development cycle some time. Another reason I don’t love essentially trading players to save luxury tax. But it’s also why I dislike buying relievers, when it seems to be the thing they generate best on their own.
Michael Taylor
2022-11-14 21:33:05 +0000 UTCOne thing ppl leave out with the Judge contract is that you'll potentially have SIX YEARS of inexpensive Dominguez, Volpe & Peraza during those 8/9 years of Judge. If they turn out even somewhat their projections are that's 3 above average position players on cheap deals. Or maybe it's 2 and you flip the other. Or whatever
Eddie Johnson
2022-11-14 21:05:32 +0000 UTCIf improving the team WAR was a goal then doing nothing more than dumping Donaldson/Hicks and replacing them with 2 warm bodies would be a net gain and a Hal wet dream.
ScottF
2022-11-14 20:28:29 +0000 UTCMy favorite column of the year. Thank you! I sure wish I could imagine the real life front office consuming the giant bowl of crow bouillabaisse necessary to make an IKF-Gio deal.
Bernard Ozarowski
2022-11-14 19:07:47 +0000 UTCBad decisions have consequences, that's true, but doubling down with two bad decisions is worse. Just my way of saying I'm not on board with the Nats deal. Basically, we're getting rid of Hicks and paying 100% of his salary for the next three years by including $30MM in the deal. Then, we're including two useful prospects in Pereira and Sweeney to unload one year of Donaldson. The net is we're not saving much money and the farm is weaker. I don't have my own solution as of yet because it'll need to be built to the competitive balance tax, but I suspect when the 2023 season rolls about, Hicks will be gone, but Donaldson will still be on the roster. With Judge's salary coming in at maybe $7MM higher than originally planned ($31MM AAV based on the pre-season offer vs. a projected $38MM AAV), this could be the season when Hal decides to tip over the next competitive-balance tax level. These things are always fun exercises, but it feels like this one is going to be less fun!
MikeD
2022-11-14 17:53:36 +0000 UTCThanks Mike - I look forward to this post every year. I could definitely get on board with Conforto. I'm higher on Lopez than others but Rodgers definitely makes more sense. My biggest fear: IKF and Donaldson go nowhere and we have to listen to more absurd rhetoric about the organizational belief in them both turning the corner.
Nick
2022-11-14 15:57:14 +0000 UTCThe one thing I can get excited for right now is the prospect of Volpe coming up. The Yankees are 99% likely to not do it. The only way it happens is if IKF and the flying Oswalds are all hit by a bus the day before opening day.
Brian Harvey
2022-11-14 15:37:31 +0000 UTCI really agree on Conforto. It's the exact kind of move the yankees should make where it just costs money, something that should be an advantage. Giving up real prospects to get a LH corner OF from the D-backs when Conforto is just sitting out there is a move for small market teams. Both are a gamble where you meet need to make a deadline move, so save the prospect capital for that.
John
2022-11-14 15:35:17 +0000 UTCYeah I get it. I feel very apathetic about this team right now.
Michael Axisa
2022-11-14 14:19:08 +0000 UTCMy favorite part about these are discovering tidbits about players who might be available that I didn't even consider. Gio? Who knew! Rojas? Huh! I'm on the non-tender Higgy and sign Narvaez train. You can still dump Omar if Wells is ready mid-summer. But I also don't feel good about moving Torres and Peraza and having Cabrera in AAA. I know talent takes precedent but I just feel like this roster is very old and transient. Why not make a package for Nate Lowe in Texas? Solidifies 1B, is 6 years younger than Rizzo, cheaper and no back issue. Trading a young, cheap and homegrown Marinaccio and replacing with a TJS mid-30's Kahnle? Eh. I know I'm bouncing around here. Love the off-season plan every year but the Yanks are in such a weird spot roster wise that even an educated, passionate guy like Mike can't get me excited about 2023.
Ben Stewart
2022-11-14 13:54:57 +0000 UTC
