Today's report is 65 pages! It was a busy day.
What's the big story? Where to start? We'll pick dirty bomb disinformation.
The second story? This is a toss-up between a lot of signs that a significant push by Ukrainian forces is starting in Luhansk and Ukraine, making more gains around Soledar and Bakhmut.
If you missed our podcast on Sunday, you should listen to our interview with the voice of United24, journalist, and educator, Yewleea. We discuss...
2022-10-25 10:49:53 +0000 UTC
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The Russian Ministry of Defense has been reporting repeated Ukrainian attacks toward Svatove, and claiming total victory in each report - including yesterday.
The General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reported that Karmazynivka, Myasozharivka and Nevske in the Luhansk and Novosadove in Donetsk are liberated.
GSAFU policy is not to announce liberations until the settlements are under Ukrainian fire control, which indicates that Ukrainian forces are further east.
You ca...
2022-10-24 18:18:00 +0000 UTC
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Today's report is 39 pages.
What's the big story? The Kremlin accused Ukraine of preparing a dirty bomb as part of a disinformation campaign.
The second story? It was very quiet today.
If you missed our podcast on Sunday, you should listen to our interview with the voice of United24, journalist, and educator, Yewleea. We discussed Ukrainian history and her interviews with Azov defenders, including Tork and Aiden Aslin.
The Malcontent News Russ...
2022-10-24 08:19:29 +0000 UTC
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Today, David Obelcz sits down with our special guest Yewleea, the voice of the Ukrainian channel United24, journalist, and educator.
Yewleea and David discuss Ukrainian history, how the Kremlin manipulates the past into propaganda, her interviews with Azov defenders Tork and Aiden Aslin and how the Donbas was turned into a flash point that erupted into total war.
2022-10-23 23:34:48 +0000 UTC
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Ukrainian forces have pushed Private Military Company Wagner Group two kilometers east of Bakhmut, retaking part of the highway strongholds.
What took Wagner two months to gain took Ukraine 24 hours to take back.
2022-10-23 18:39:12 +0000 UTC
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While embedded with a Russian (likely Donetsk People's Republic 1st Army Corps) military unit, WarGonzo frontman Semyon Pegov stepped on an anti-personnel mine, badly injuring his foot.
He is expected to survive, barring major complications, but the video of him being removed from a Russian infantry fighting vehicle (which raises a lot of questions) shows that he has probably lost all his toes at the minimum.
2022-10-23 18:37:32 +0000 UTC
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Today's report is 46 pages.
What's the big story? Big Kherson update. There is still a lot of fog of war, but we would rather be right versus first.
The second story? Ukraine is punishing PMC Wagner east of Bakhmut.
If you missed our podcast on Sunday, you should listen to our interview with military historian and author James Rife. If you want to buy the book he helped produce with author Craig Reed, Junior, The Russian Ukraine War Factbook, you ca...
2022-10-23 09:02:37 +0000 UTC
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In the October 21 Situation Report, we hinted that things were happening in two locations on the northern front but weren't prepared to share details due to a lack of verifiable data. The General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine provided some additional information this morning, and we've expanded our area of uncertainty
2022-10-22 18:31:35 +0000 UTC
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Today's report is 44 pages.
What's the big story? Russia launched another massive attack on Ukrainian power plants, destroying another one-third of the nation's capacity. Millions have been left without power, water, sewer, or telecommunications.
The second story? Withdrawals of Russian forces continue while information about fighting and some updates start to trickle out.
If you missed our podcast on Sunday, you should listen to our interview with ...
2022-10-22 10:30:44 +0000 UTC
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The Kremlin and the Pentagon confirmed that Russian Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu and United States Secretary of Defense Lloyd Austin talked over the phone at length on a number of security issues, including Ukraine. The Kremlin and the Pentagon provided readouts.
After angry rhetoric from the Kremlin in late September, we're gone back a step or two on the Mutually Assured Destruction Instability Paradox. The two talking to each other with provided readouts is a good sign that the adul...
2022-10-21 20:11:35 +0000 UTC
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Today's report is 41 pages.
What's the big story? Ukrainian officials that Russian forces have started a partial withdrawal from Kherson, but there are a lot of questions.
The second story? There was almost no fighting reported across Ukraine.
If you missed our podcast on Sunday, you should listen to our interview with military historian and author James Rife. If you want to buy the book he helped produce with author Craig Reed, Junior, The Russian ...
2022-10-21 08:42:37 +0000 UTC
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Today's report is 45 pages.
What's the big story? More power plant attacks is forcing Ukraine to implement nationwide rolling blackouts with Russian politicians saying aloud the intent is to freeze Ukrainians into submission.
The second story? The bigger news is outside of Ukraine with a lot of geopolitics across the globe with broad implications for the UK, United States, and Russian Federation.
If you missed our podcast on Sunday, you should liste...
2022-10-20 09:12:36 +0000 UTC
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You asked for a glossary of military terms and some of the language used in the Situation Reports.
Here you go!
2022-10-19 23:27:46 +0000 UTC
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Today's report is 47 pages and is the 200th Situation Report.
What's the big story? Remember how I said tonight's report would be combat only? I lied. It's a full report, so you got your money's worth.
The second story? Something is brewing in Kherson.
IMPORTANT: I was contacted by the publisher of the book The Russia Ukraine War Factbook. Apparently, our readers and listeners have bought so many copies (thank you, and no, we ...
2022-10-19 09:35:45 +0000 UTC
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I'm attending an awards event hosted by the Society of Professional Journalists tonight. I'm not an honorary, so don't get excited, but some of my peers are. Because of this, there will be a shorter report for October 18.
As always, if major events occur, we'll burn the late-night oil to cover them. Short of World War III starting between 5 PM to 10 PM PDT, don't expect a flash report. Come to think of it, being in downtown Seattle I won't know about it anyway.
2022-10-18 18:01:09 +0000 UTC
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Today's report is 53 pages.
What's the big story? Terror attacks on civilians and civilian infrastructure are continuing across Ukraine.
The second story? Russian troop build-up in Belarus.
If you missed our podcast on Sunday, you should listen to our interview with military historian and author James Rife. If you want to buy the book he helped produce with author Craig Reed, Junior, The Russian Ukraine War Factbook, you can visit 2022-10-18 09:00:40 +0000 UTC
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Today's report is 45 pages.
What's the big story? At least three dozen drones attempted to strike Ukrainian targets in the last 24 hours, and missile attacks this morning. We hate when we're right about these things.
The second story? Mobik mobilization madness.
If you missed our podcast on Sunday, you should listen to our interview with military historian and author James Rife. If you want to buy the book he helped produce with author Craig Reed, J...
2022-10-17 07:09:08 +0000 UTC
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Today, David Obelcz sits down with our special guest Jamie Rife, military historian and author. We discuss the history of the Slavic region of Eastern Europe, the impact drone warfare is having, and why the Russian military has been struggling.
Mr. Rife was the project manager for The Russia Ukraine War Factbook, authored by Craig Reed, Jr. The book covers the 1,000-year history between Ukraine and Russia and the geopolitical events that led to the February 24...
2022-10-16 22:19:25 +0000 UTC
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The Ukrainian government has asked for a complete and total media blackout for the ongoing counteroffensive in Kherson, including analysis.
We will honor that request in our Situation Reports and on our maps. We will only share information from the General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine and Operational Command South. We will only share information that we can verify looking at other sources. Which is to say, we will look at other available sources to authenticate GSAFU reports, bu...
2022-10-16 18:30:27 +0000 UTC
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Three situations we're monitoring. Ukraine has issued a media blackout in Kherson, which is another sign that the counteroffensive has or will restart shortly.
Russia is buying ballistic missile systems from Iran, which is a game changer. First, dismiss these systems at your own peril; they are likely more effective and accurate than the Russian Iskander-M system, which has had terrible performance. Second, this is the biggest sign yet that Russia is running out of precision weapons and...
2022-10-16 17:48:35 +0000 UTC
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Today's report is 40 pages.
What's the big story? Three mobiks opened fire on their follow trainees at training facility killing at least 11 and wounding 15 more. All is going to plan.
The second story? Panic continues in the Russian social media space about a looming or started counteroffensive in Kherson, and all signs are pointing to something starting.
The Malcontent News Russia Ukraine War Podcast for yesterday is available at:
- Our ...
2022-10-16 08:07:21 +0000 UTC
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A large-scale counteroffensive, potentially involving even more troops and armor than two weeks ago, has started in northern Kherson.
Your Editor in Chief is going to bed while our European analysts are monitoring the situation. Expect another update around 10:30 PDT.
2022-10-15 11:20:44 +0000 UTC
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Today's report is 47 pages.
What's the big story? There is a lot of chatter in the Russian social media space that a large counteroffensive by Ukraine has restarted in northern Kherson. We delayed publishing to try and verify the reports, but have decided to hit send.
The second story? Mobilization of Russian troops is not going well.
The Malcontent News Russia Ukraine War Podcast for yesterday is available at:
Today's report is 42 pages.
What's the big story? That mobilization is going terrible and the Kremlin is facing renewed backlash.
The second story? Ukraine is closing in on Svatove in Luhansk.
The Malcontent News Russia Ukraine War Podcast for yesterday is available at:
Neither belligerent reported any significant fighting along any point of the line of conflict in Ukraine over the last 12 hours.
A lot of artillery fire, rocket attacks, and air strikes, but no major ground combat.
This has never happened since February 24. There were a number of skirmishes, and Ukraine made a significant advance in that last little sliver of Kharkiv, but the fighting was very light, with mobik units simply surrendering.
If we were writing the Situation Repo...
2022-10-13 15:38:26 +0000 UTC
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Today's report is 43 pages.
What's the big story? The Kersch Bridge is more severely damaged than Russia initially reported and rail service has not restarted.
The second story? Russia is running out of modern military hardware and is starting to scrape the bottom of the barrel..
The Malcontent News Russia Ukraine War Podcast for yesterday is available at:
The Ukrainian Air Force is reporting that in the span of 18 minutes, four Russian Ka-52 Alligator attack helicopters were shot down and another two were damage.
We can't verify the full veracity of this claim, and we usually don't share, "trust me bro" reports from either belligerent on downed aircraft. However, there is chatter on Russian Telegram that supports that some Ka-52 helicopters were shot down, but not an exact number.
I know we have a lot of new Malcontents - welcome! ...
2022-10-12 16:58:30 +0000 UTC
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Today's report is 51 pages.
What's the big story? Actually, I can't really say there is one. Nothing jumps out today as, "oooo, this is the big thing." Despite being "only" 51 pages with full war coverage, today's report has 83 footnotes.
The second story? See the point above.
The Malcontent News Russia Ukraine War Podcast for yesterday is available at:
Today's report is 45 pages.
What's the big story? The aftermath of a day of terror across Ukraine. Russia did not get the end game they were hoping for.
The second story? It appears the fronts are starting to stabilize and Ukrainian forces may be entering another operational pause.
The Malcontent News Russia Ukraine War Podcast for yesterday is available at:
Information is very murky and changing constantly due to the vast number of attacks.
- Other analysts agree these attacks are the calling card of General Sergey Surovikin, who is likely under extreme pressure to deliver something big to the Kremlin as the new supreme commander
- The average career of a Russian command general in Ukraine is 21 days - tik tok tik tok tik tok (not the platform)
- General Surovikin employed the same tactics in Syria with no regard fo...
2022-10-10 18:10:09 +0000 UTC
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