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SITREP 597 is 58 pages long and combat only due to how much battlefield activity is going on.
What...
2024-02-08 10:25:34 +0000 UTC
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SITREP 596 is 58 pages long and combat only due to analysis of the situation in Avdiivka and the missile and drone attack o...
2024-02-07 10:44:00 +0000 UTC
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There was a large-scale missile and drone attack on Ukraine with two Russian cruise missiles loitering along the Poland-Ukraine border for up to 20 minutes, including making two approaches toward the Polish border.
Here is what we can confirm. Watching flight tracking, it appears that the southern part of the Polish NOTAM issued on February 4 was cleared of commercial air traffic. A USAF KC-135 refueling aircraft was orbiting near the Poland-Ukraine border.
The General Staff...
2024-02-07 06:31:58 +0000 UTC
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Traffic through the Suez Canal in January 2024 dropped by 90% compared to 2023 due to Iran-backed Houthi rebels attacking shipping in the Red Sea. Houthi rebels stated their intent was to block shipping traffic to Israel by targeting only Israeli-associated ships and ships carrying cargo to or from Israel. But since early December, to quote Captain James T. Kirk from Star Trek II: The Wrath of Kahn, "...but like a blind marksman, you keep missing the target."
Only 35% of attacks on civi...
2024-02-07 02:04:23 +0000 UTC
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SITREP 595 is 64 pages long and a full report.
What's Happening
What's the big...
2024-02-06 10:05:19 +0000 UTC
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The original version contained, "Yes, Russia has a 5:1 artillery advantage, but it has to be repeated: Russia's artillery capabilities are already degraded by 82% compared to June 2023."
It should have read, "Yes, Russia has a 5:1 artillery advantage, but it has to be repeated: Russia's artillery capabilities are already degraded by 82% compared to June 2022."
First, the bad news. Videos are co...
2024-02-05 22:15:39 +0000 UTC
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SITREP 595 is 54 pages long and is combat only.
What's Happening
What's the bi...
2024-02-05 08:59:05 +0000 UTC
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Analysis!
Yes. I got into the studio and did January in review. Also covered Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Power Plant, Ukraine's drone warfare capability is rapidly evolving, but it won't solve the ammunition crisis, and it's time to talk about Congress and Speaker of the House Mike Johnson. Not talking about it now would be journalist malfeasance.
2024-02-05 01:57:10 +0000 UTC
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Volgograd
Someone smarter than me believes that the drone attack on the Lukoil Refinery in Volgograd destroyed one of the decoking towers. They also initially believed that the condensate tower had been destroyed. I held back on declaring the condensate system destroyed after getting a hydrocracker versus a vacuum distillation system wrong at Krasnodar Krai. It wasn't errors and omissions territory - ultimately, they both do the same thing, just the process is different.
The dif...
2024-02-04 00:47:12 +0000 UTC
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Ukraine has a new drone and a new strategy, and the world needs to pay attention.
In Volgograd, at least one Ukrainian one-way drone struck the Lukoil Refinery, the largest oil refinery in Russia's Southern District.
The drone flew at least 500 kilometers before hitting the plant, striking between the oil warming and distillation units.
Wait, haven't I read that before at other refineries?
Yes. Ukrainian drones have hit seven Russian oil industry facilities in less tha...
2024-02-03 20:31:11 +0000 UTC
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[WBHG 24 News] - The latest reports from the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA), which has had a team of international inspectors at the Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Power Plant for 16 months, painted an alarming picture of leaking steam generation circuits and safety systems, inadequate staff, and no 2024 maintenance plan.
Europe's largest nuclear power plant is located in occupied Enerhodar. Previously located on the banks of the Kakhovka Reservoir, the primary source ...
2024-02-03 08:00:44 +0000 UTC
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SITREP 594 is 59 pages and is combat only.
What's Happening
What's the big sto...
2024-02-02 06:07:24 +0000 UTC
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SITREP 593 is 61 pages and a full report.
What's Happening
What's the big stor...
2024-02-01 12:48:24 +0000 UTC
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We have new Patreons, so a brief recap. On January 24, a Russian Il-76 was shot down approximately 60 kilometers east-northeast of Belgorod, near the settlement of Yablonovo. Immediately after the crash, Russian officials reported that 63 were onboard, and all were killed. Minutes later, they reported that 65 Ukrainian POWs, six crewmembers, and 3 Russian personnel were on board, and all were killed.
We prepared a bullet summary on January 24 that you can 2024-02-01 01:02:18 +0000 UTC
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SITREP 592 is 49 pages and a full report.
What's Happening
What's the big stor...
2024-01-31 09:03:51 +0000 UTC
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Russia experienced a nationwide Internet outage today that took down thousands of sites and social media platforms. It appears the incident was self-inflicted and not related to a cyberattack. However, this has limited the release of information. I'm reading the analyst notes and if there are large gaps, the January 30 SIT REP will be a summary report.
2024-01-31 02:26:12 +0000 UTC
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[WBHG News 24 – Seattle] – After a January 23 report from the Seattle Office of Police Accountability concluded Officer Daniel Auderer violated SPD’s professionalism and bias-based policing policies while discussing the death of Jaahnavi Kandula, including saying she had “limited value,” SPD leadership has recommended harsh discipline, up to termination.
On the night of January 23, 2023, Officer Kevin Dave was responding to a drug overdose call when...
2024-01-31 02:19:46 +0000 UTC
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SITREP 591 is 53 pages and a full report.
What's Happening
What's the big stor...
2024-01-30 09:54:41 +0000 UTC
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President Volodymyr Zelenskyy has not dismissed Valerii Zaluzhnyi as commander-in-chief of the Armed Forces of Ukraine. We are aware that some outlets and social media pages are reporting he has.
At 19:30 Kyiv Time, the President Office of Ukraine said it was untrue that Zaluzhnyi was dismissed.
2024-01-29 20:09:22 +0000 UTC
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SITREP 590 is 65 pages and a full report.
What's Happening
What's the big stor...
2024-01-29 11:54:21 +0000 UTC
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It's been 112 days since the October 7 massacres in Israel that started the Israel-Hamas War. If I were a lesser man, I'd share some of the hate mail received during our period of coverage. We gave up because the information space was and still is an impossible tangle of disinformation and misinformation. If it's unclear, that's directed at all parties.
I have been deeply concerned about words with heavy weight and meaning that have been tossed around, like ordering fast food at a resta...
2024-01-28 02:36:16 +0000 UTC
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SITREP 589 is 58 pages, combat only.
What's Happening
What's the big story?
2024-01-26 09:39:20 +0000 UTC
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I know a few people have asked in comments and messages, and a couple have noted that the machine seems to be back on.
I am not "better," but I am in another good phase, and the momentum is fading a bit.
The good news is no surgery - phew.
The bad news - still doesn't have a name/diagnosis beyond, "You have long COVID, and it sucks to be you."
A lot more tests and specialist visits are coming up over the next 60ish days. But that is good news. If you've ever been...
2024-01-26 01:15:09 +0000 UTC
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SITREP 588 is 65 pages and a full report.
What's Happening
What's the big stor...
2024-01-25 08:48:39 +0000 UTC
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After three late nights in a row, I'm definitely feeling it today. This is going to be quick and raw because work on the SITREP has started, but I know a lot of people are asking.
- In our assessment, based on open-source flight tracking data, very reliable sources identified the tail number of the Il-76, the location of the crash, and the direction of the aircraft. The plane departed from Belgorod and was flying east-northeast.
- To further support this, the size of the expl...
2024-01-25 00:38:47 +0000 UTC
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SITREP 587 is 74 pages, and as you read this, it has been 23 months since Russia expanded its war of aggression against Ukr...
2024-01-24 11:29:31 +0000 UTC
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SITREP 586 is 58 pages and combat only!
What's Happening
What's the big story?...
2024-01-23 09:58:57 +0000 UTC
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SITREP 585 is 58 pages and combat only!
What's Happening
What's the big story?...
2024-01-22 11:03:03 +0000 UTC
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And the Azov Brigade operating south of Kreminna delivers.
Yesterday, I wrote how Ukraine had added rudimentary sight to first-person view one-way drones and was specifically targeting a weak spot at the rear of T-72 and T-80 main battle tanks with devastating effects. Early this morning, one of the analysts geolocated the video in the Serebriankiy Woods. Based on the sight, the tactics, and the weather, the video is current.
The drone operator is camping in the trees on a know Ru...
2024-01-19 19:56:18 +0000 UTC
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Videos and reports show that anti-government riots in the Republic of Bashkortostan have spread to Ufa, with up to 2,000 protesters violently clashing with police. Mass arrests are ongoing, and riot police are kettling protesters.
Before you start to wonder if this is the end of the beginning or the beginning of the end, it will take a lot more protests, occurring simultaneously across dozens of regions, to make a difference. But this is a start.
2024-01-19 11:11:34 +0000 UTC
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