Thoughts after Game 1 of the 2024 ALCS
Added 2024-10-15 04:37:29 +0000 UTC
Four wins down, seven to go. The Yankees rode Carlos Rodón’s left arm and timely wild pitches to a 5-2 win over the Guardians in ALCS Game 1 on Monday. They’ll send their ace to the mound with a chance to take a 2-0 series lead Tuesday night. Long way to go and I wouldn't say the Yankees are firing on all cylinders, but things, they are going well.
Game 2 on Tuesday: RHP Gerrit Cole vs. RHP Tanner Bibee (7:30pm ET on TBS, Max, TruTV)
1. Rodón rewards the Yankees. I didn’t love the decision to start Carlos Rodón in Game 1 because I am an idiot. For real though, the Guardians hit lefties very well during the regular season, especially late in the year, and Rodón is prone to dingers and big innings. With Clarke Schmidt available on normal rest, I would have gone with him, but the Yankees are smarter than me, and Rodón got the ball.
"Gosh, he was good," Aaron Boone said after Game 1. "It just felt like he was in – we talked about how would he take the experience of the first time out (in the ALDS), and I felt like he totally applied all of that. I thought he was just in complete command of himself and of his emotions. Stuff was excellent, had swing and miss."
Rodón’s line: 6 IP, 3 H, 1 R, 0 BB, 9 K, 1 HR (video) on 93 pitches. No. 9 hitter Brayan Rocchio socked the #ObligatoryHomer (I warned you about him), though it was only a solo shot, and the Yankees led 4-0 in the sixth inning at the time. If you’re going to give up a homer, that’s a good homer to give up. Other than that, the Guardians had just one runner reach second base against Rodon, and that was in the first inning after a passed ball. Rodón never allowed a runner to reach third base (like actually stop and stand at third).
I thought Rodón might throw more changeups and curveballs after going fastball/slider heavy in his ALDS start, but nope, he stayed primarily with his top two pitches, and was very effective. He generated 25 swings and misses, the second most by a Yankee this season (Gerrit Cole had 26 against the Rangers on Aug. 10th) and the most by a Yankee in a postseason game since pitch tracking began in 2008. The leaderboard:
1. Carlos Rodón: 25 in 2024 ALCS Game 1
2. Gerrit Cole: 24 in 2020 Wild Card Series Game 1
3. CC Sabathia: 21 in 2009 ALDS Game 1
4. Gerrit Cole: 19 in 2022 ALDS Game 1
5. Several tied with 18
Also, props to Aaron Boone. As soon as Rocchio’s homer landed, Clay Holmes was up in the bullpen, and Boone didn’t try to steal outs with Rodón after he escaped the sixth inning. Holmes came in to start the seventh nice and clean, and to face Lane Thomas, a righty who crushes lefties and had a big ALDS. Dare I say Boone has had a fantastic postseason? He’s pushed the right button an awful lot these five games.
Rodón is a fiery guy and he talked Sunday about needing to control his emotions after letting the Royals game get away, and he did that Monday. There were no roars after strikeouts, nothing like that. Did that contribute to his strong outing? I dunno, maybe, but it was a different vibe. Some guys can pitch with that much emotion and thrive. Others need to rein it in a bit. Either way, Rodón silenced the doubters (i.e. me), and led the Yankees to a Game 1 win.
"The goal was to just stay in control," Rodón said. "Stay in control of what I can do, obviously physically and emotionally. I thought I executed that well tonight."
2. Grindstone baseball. The Yankees beat the Royals in the ALDS because they made nothing easy for Kansas City’s pitchers (and because their pitching was very good, especially the bullpen). They worked long at-bats, fouled away good pitches, and made the Royals work hard for every out. It was winning baseball, and it continued in Game 1 of the ALCS. No pitcher has been safe this postseason.
"I think a lot of them, that's who they are, that's what they're capable of, that's in their DNA," Aaron Boone said about the quality of the at-bats after Game 1. "… We haven't totally broken through offensively, but I feel like the at-bats are where they need to be."
Alex Cobb faced 16 batters, half reached base, and he averaged over four pitches per batter. And that’s with Gleyber Torres putting the first pitch in play twice. The Yankees stranded two runners in both the first and second innings and stranding two runners in the first is getting annoying (three times in five postseason games!), but the third inning made up for it. The generational Juan Soto hit a ball into the bullpen (video), then the Yankees dug in and went to work:
Aaron Judge: 7-pitch walk
Austin Wells: 4-pitch strikeout
Giancarlo Stanton: 4-pitch walk
Jazz Chisholm Jr: 2-pitch fly out
Anthony Volpe: 5-pitch walk
Anthony Rizzo: 4-pitch walk
Four of the six batters after Soto’s homer drew walks and mixed in there were two run-scoring wild pitches. Two! Katie Sharp says the Yankees are the first team to score on multiple wild pitches in a postseason game, and they did it twice in the same inning. Twice in the span of six pitches! Was it 2021 when the Yankees had all those run-scoring wild pitches? The 2021 Yankees MVP returned in ALCS Game 1. (Maybe it was 2022. I forget.)
Statcast rates Bo Naylor as a very strong pitch-framer but only so-so at throwing and blocking. So-so can mean good some days and bad on others, and we saw the bad side of Naylor’s blocking in Game 1. He let four – four! – pitches get by him and every single one contributed to a run crossing the plate. To be clear, all four were scored wild pitches on Joey Cantillo*, but what is this blocking attempt?

Longtime catching coach Jerry Weinstein says Naylor stayed in framing mode too long and didn’t switch to blocking mode in time, hence whatever that was. It wasn’t a one-knee catching stance thing (wild pitches are down, actually). Two runs scored on wild pitches in the third, then Torres advanced to second and third on wild pitches in the fourth, and scored on Aaron Judge's sac fly. A free 90 feet, again and again (and again and again).
* Cantillo’s four wild pitches are the second most ever in a postseason game behind Rick Ankiel’s five in Game 1 of the 2000 NLDS. That game basically ended Ankiel’s pitching career.
The Yankees walked seven times in Game 1. Seven more times, I should saw. They’re up to 37 strikeouts and 34 walks in five postseason games, which is bonkers. They’re also 15-for-86 (.174) with men on base, so they have not yet turned all those walks and tough at-bats into consistent runs, but homers and run-scoring wild pitches will paper over things. Keep grinding away and good things will happen offensively. They already are happening.
3. Rizzo returns. I should’ve known the Yankees didn’t put Anthony Rizzo on the ALCS roster to not play him. Rizzo was in the Game 1 lineup, starting at first base and batting eighth, two weeks and two days after an errant pitch broke two fingers on his right hand. He felt good during and after workouts over the weekend, he has extra padding in his glove and when he bats, and he’s giving it a go in the ALCS.
“That's all it is. It's just pain. It's temporary, and the 50,000 people in the stands and the adrenaline and what's at stake is going to outweigh any pain I'll be feeling,” Rizzo said before Game 1. “… These games are all compete. You just go out there and compete with whatever you have.”
Considering the layoff, I thought Rizzo looked sharp in Game 1. Laid off two splitters and stroked a single in his first at-bat, took a walk during that third inning rally, then hit the ball in the air his last two times up. Rizzo couldn’t make the play on Brayan Rocchio’s ground ball (85.6 mph exit velocity) in the eighth inning though, which led to Tim Hill’s obstruction call. You need your first baseman to make this play in the late innings in October:

If you’re healthy enough to play, you’re healthy enough to be expected to perform, and that’s a ball Rizzo has to at least keep in front of him. No out there forced Luke Weaver into the game earlier than I would have liked with another game coming Tuesday – Weaver threw 24 pitches to get five outs and had the audacity to walk a batter – but you have to do what you have to do to seal the win. Other than that play, Rizzo looked good in his return.
The Yankees understand Rizzo is no longer a high-end performer, that’s why he hit eighth in Game 1, but they still value his professional at-bats, his defense (that play notwithstanding), and the fact he can handle all this. He won’t scare in October. Rizzo’s not gonna give you that big swing at this point in his career. He does fit the heavy at-bat profile though, and that’s something. Welcome back, Tony.
(Rizzo’s fine, by the way. Aaron Boone said he replaced him for defense in the ninth inning because Rizzo was spent after not playing for more than two weeks. He’ll be in the Game 2 lineup.)
4. Rapid fire thoughts. Nothing to say about the eighth inning obstruction call on Tim Hill (video). That’s textbook obstruction and the runners were placed at the proper bases in my opinion. Weird play. Glad it wasn’t overly costly … October Giancarlo Stanton remains the best Giancarlo Stanton. Big G socked an insurance run solo dinger in the seventh (video). It’s his second homer this postseason and his 13th homer in 32 career postseason games. That’s a 66 homers per 162 games pace. October G will live forever … Juan Soto is now 9-for-13 with a double and three homers in his career against Alex Cobb. That is some serious ownage. “I can't tell you that right now. I bet you he's listening,” Soto joked before the game when asked why he hits Cobb so well … Aaron Judge isn’t hitting much – he struck out with two runners on and no outs in the first inning for the third time this postseason in Game 1 – but he is playing the hell out of center field. He made two great running catches Monday (videos) and had a couple nice ones in the ALDS as well. We didn’t see that much during the regular season. Maybe Judge was holding back a bit to protect his toe/avoid crashing into walls, and is letting it loose in October? … … Nestor Cortes (flexor) will throw another bullpen Wednesday, and if that goes well, he could throw live BP this weekend. He really is trending toward being on the World Series roster, huh? If the Yankees advance, of course. Nestor being healthy-ish is a pleasant surprise. … And finally, nothing quite says AL Central baseball like “pinch-hitter Austin Hedges.” He pinch-flew out to begin the eighth and made the final out in the ninth. Guardians rookie manager Stephen Vogt has a tendency to burn through pinch-hitters and box himself into less desirable matchups at the plate late in the game, I’ve noticed this postseason.
Comments
How about Torres, Soto, Stanton, Judge, Rizzo, Volpe, Wells, Chissum, Verdugo… ? Basically move Judge down 1 spot, move Wells down a bunch, and Stanton up, all while trying to keep alternating L vs R hitters more or less
Yaron P
2024-10-15 22:26:28 +0000 UTCHappy to be corrected and I've seen this nowhere but the Rochhio/Hill play was not called correctly. If this is how it's going to be called runners can headhunt fielders anywhere near the base bath regardless of where the ball is, or the context of the play Emphasis added by me... Defensive obstruction: If a fielder who doesn't have the ball or isn't trying to make a play on a batted ball obstructs a runner, the umpire AWARDS THE BASE HE WOULD HAVE REACHED. Rocchio would not have reached second base. Not a tough judgement call since the ball was lying in the infield/edge of grass.
keith kopnicki
2024-10-15 20:24:07 +0000 UTCYeah, that sounds like Boone alright.
Just a bit outside
2024-10-15 20:15:30 +0000 UTCBecause they went up by 4 so Boone tried to get cute with Hill.
Mike
2024-10-15 20:06:28 +0000 UTCI suspect that Judge's fielding numbers this year have been down because of injury worries (yes, Mike did ponder this). He sure as hell looked fast and agile making those plays, and his reads were spot on!
Kevin Parlato
2024-10-15 17:29:34 +0000 UTCSeven more
kyle
2024-10-15 16:59:40 +0000 UTCMy G1 game plan worked nicely. G2: Sliders/cutters to JRam, everything outside to Kwan, and absolutely zero cutters to Josh Naylor. Cole should be good enough for everyone else. On offence Judge and Wells match up well. I would not drop them in the lineup.
chuangeUp
2024-10-15 16:47:56 +0000 UTCI wouldn't say he was ultimately a success story, though playing 650+ games over 11 seasons is better than most. But at 20 years old he had put up 4.5 WAR in just 40 games as a pitcher. After a disaster of a start to his age 21 season (25 walks +25 hits in only 24 IP) he was largely done as a pitcher, returning at age 27 to put up only ~5 fWAR in ~600 games.
DZB
2024-10-15 16:32:35 +0000 UTCI was talking about Kahnle starting the 8th...instead of Tim Hill. The 7-8-9 spots were due up.
Just a bit outside
2024-10-15 15:26:37 +0000 UTCYou want Weaver facing Ramirez since he's the tying run
Vismay Pandia
2024-10-15 15:15:01 +0000 UTCIt can be both. It's not inaccurate to say the Yankees have been making opposing pitchers throw a lot of pitches. It's factual, actually.
Big Davey88
2024-10-15 14:37:43 +0000 UTCWhat a cool ultimate success story though to become a viable and productive outfielder with a cannon for an arm.
Big Davey88
2024-10-15 14:35:07 +0000 UTCSo Cole taught Weaver how to throw a good fastball and taught Rodón how to pitch in the playoffs. Great leadership all year and by example.
Kyle
2024-10-15 12:42:36 +0000 UTCCan someone tell me why Tommy Kahnle did not pitch the 8th?
Just a bit outside
2024-10-15 12:31:21 +0000 UTCI apologize to Rodon for doubting him (though he's the one who caused doubt given his inconsistency). Nice to have three solid pitchers lined up after winning game 1! Two other comments - I think Judge will break out in one of these next couple of games, and I think Wells should be dropped down in the lineup. p.s., I remember that Rick Ankiel game (was living in St Louis at the time), and it was one of the saddest moments I've seen in baseball. He was such a talent, and it was clear he was having a nervous meltdown that he was unlikely to get past.
DZB
2024-10-15 10:52:01 +0000 UTCTime to drop Judge in the order. He’s taking the air out of every rally.
Jingling Baby
2024-10-15 10:49:01 +0000 UTCIt’s easy to start dreaming about the next round. Gotta stay focused and take that 2-0 lead and hopefully not be back in Yankee Stadium until the World Series.
The Original Drew
2024-10-15 08:12:56 +0000 UTCJust be happy with the win, please.
DocBob
2024-10-15 06:50:02 +0000 UTCthe 4 walks on 17 pitches plus 2 wild pitches to score runs is not “digging in and going to work” it was a gift from the opponent. hitter’s don’t deserve credit for not swinging at utterly non competitive pitches.
Brad Schlesinger
2024-10-15 05:31:38 +0000 UTCThe Yankees are winning without Judge, Wells and Chisholm hitting. Jazz, btw, looks like he's never played baseball in temperatures below 70 degrees. He was bundled up tonight like it was late October and in the 30s. After his ABs he was walking to the dugout blowing on his hands. Overall, Jazz seems to be pressing. Wells may be pressing, or is perhaps spent after the long season. Crazy idea: With Rizzo back, how about hitting him fourth? That way they can maintain the lefty, righty, lefty, righty mix. Rizzo may not have the pop, but he'll give a more professional AB than Wells will at the moment. Maybe dropping Wells in the order will help get him on track. The players overall are working great ABs and drawing walks, but they're lacking the big hit. Judge has really hurt them with no production in the first innings, but I think if Judge and one of Jazz or Wells gets going they're going to start blowing out their opponents. The walks are great. They need to follow them with hits.
MikeD
2024-10-15 05:26:09 +0000 UTCMike, is there no latitude for an umpire to NOT call obstruction if he feels that the runner was not going to advance? Rocchio was not going to second so couldn’t the ump have used his judgment and not called obstruction?
Jingling Baby
2024-10-15 05:11:06 +0000 UTCPitching was pretty excellent. I thought bringing in Hill was a little too cute but he had some bad luck Wells has to move down in the order
John G
2024-10-15 05:07:34 +0000 UTCI’m happy they’re winning but man, Grindstone Baseball is boring baseball. Call me old-fashioned but I prefer to watch runs scored by getting clutch hits, not by derpy wild pitches and slogging out walks. 6-41 with RISP so far in the postseason (NY Post’s number) is not going to win the World Series. Let’s start swinging the bats please.
Bruce
2024-10-15 05:04:53 +0000 UTC