I grabbed a little TSLA today at the magical $411 mark - the same level I entered before and was waiting to hit again...
Buy signal shadowed again and we have bounced off $411 thrice now.
I bought the Jan 2028 calls and sold the Jan 2028 Puts at $400 strike for a net debit of $45
My breakeven on the trade is $445 a mere 800 days from now. It may not be the bottom - but it is a very small position compared to my usual buys
Not long ago, I made a post on how Burry was insane to short AI - in particular, NVDA - PLTR, PLTR you could argue is frothy.
Anyhow as it turns out - putting Burry’s recent moves together — his liquidation letter, his posts about hyperscalers losing value, and his Big Short meme — and he’s sending one message:
He is a PermaBear - only knows pessimism. And yeah... bears are right 20% of the time and they make markets. But all permabears eventually go broke. ...
2025-11-13 05:34:44 +0000 UTC
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and yeah I realize the price sucks... been in markets now since 1990 and never saw so much mispricing as I have with Crypto.
Anyhoooo Toly says in this interview "Solana processes in a single month the same number of transactions Ethereum has handled over its entire history."
2025-11-13 05:12:51 +0000 UTC
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Beyond Meat is basically ultra-processed junk dressed up as “healthy.” Vegans loved it. However if you took 1 min to research it youy would find out it is trash stuffed with refined oils, protein isolates, starches, methylcellulose, maltodextrin, “natural flavors,” and other additives you’d never consume at home.
Some ingredients even raise extra eyebrows—like rice-based proteins that can carry arsenic. Nutritionally, it’s worse than many processed meats: high sodium, hi...
2025-11-13 05:07:54 +0000 UTC
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Will cover this and more on Cyberbulls tomorrow at 2pm PT
Nobody else is even thinking about this.... and Tesla has been for the last decade.
Tesla's sentient "Baby AGI" isn't a chatty oracle—it's an agent that embodies intelligence. Perceiving 3D worlds, predicting physics (e.g., a tyres skid on wet asphalt), navigating/manipulating objects, and reasoning through interaction (trial-and-error learning in real time).
Tesla's FSD is already there—your car "understands" i...
2025-11-13 04:56:43 +0000 UTC
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A lesson in negotiating tactics.
I rem over a qtr of a century ago we had a class at Wharton around Negotiations.... I rem it to this day - and it is pretty freaking simple - Whoever controls the scope defines what the negotiation is about and the assumptions both sides accept as reality. Done. A total nonsense experiment.
Anyhoooo.... Even though the U.S. government was shut down for 43 days, it still borrowed 2/3rds of a Trillion dollars which works out to a...
2025-11-13 04:51:13 +0000 UTC
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Fun items like -
ok we got the comp plan and Elon plans to ramp 60% full war mode - what does this mean for the stock?
Spatial AI.... the new frontier
Convergence w SpaceX and xAI
Quick fire Qs for Lutz and Merz
Short snappy Q's are best.
2025-11-13 00:19:48 +0000 UTC
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I know Jo B was on the channel last week, saying Tesla could easily hit $2,000 next year. Personally, I think that’s a bit optimistic. I’m more in the $750–$1,000 range, and it was reassuring to see AJ land in a similar zone.
AJ’s updated Tesla price targets are $530–$590 for next year, and $1,050–$1,170 over the next two years.
Note mine is based on FCF and very conserva...
2025-11-12 22:55:56 +0000 UTC
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Proxies have taken a hit — for the first time this bull run, MSTR is trading below its Bitcoin holdings, with the NAV premium flipping to a 1% discount.
You could technically argue that the arbitrage might now swing the other way — but not if a bear market is setting in.
We really need the Govt to reopen ASAP... i know for a fact people are being forced to sell here to make money for downpayments on homes etc.
Looks like Google is A/B testing a new model in AI Studio.
The text above is a nightmare 18th-century handwritten document—bad spelling, grammar, and all.
Most models fail hard on it. This new one? Nearly perfect. Nothing else even comes close.
I can think of a number of applications including my own handwriting :D
h.t Sanjay
2025-11-12 16:31:34 +0000 UTC
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The Semiconductor ETF ($SMH) saw record inflows of $1.3 billion last week, surpassing its previous high of $1.2 billion from Q1 2022.
That’s more than twice the weekly average for 2025 so far.
Meanwhile, the 3x leveraged Nasdaq 100 ETF ($TQQQ) also drew massive demand, with $1.2 billion in new inflows.
Altogether, U.S.-listed ETFs added $43.0 billion during the week ending Friday, bringing year-to-date inflows to an all-time high of $1.14 trillion.
2025-11-12 16:20:13 +0000 UTC
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New York City’s new socialist tax experiment is set to end badly. Mayor Zohran Mamdani’s plan to fund free services by heavily taxing the rich will likely drive out the very people who pay most of the city’s taxes. Also, the corporations. And no net new companies will head to NYC. History shows this pattern: when taxes get too high, wealth and talent leave—just like they did in Britain, Sweden, and more recently, California.
I've seen this firsthand in California, where the sta...
2025-11-12 16:10:00 +0000 UTC
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This stock was included in my IA9, and since the summer of 2025, I’ve been waiting for a dip… but that never came. It just got upgraded with a new $300 price target.
A friend of mine has held a small bag of AMD since 2015 — and he’s now a multi millionaire. The stock is up over 11,000% in ten years, a classic example of how sometimes the best move is simply to sit on your hands and wait.
With AMD’s latest upgrade to $300, it shows no sign of slowing down.
This exce...
2025-11-12 15:51:44 +0000 UTC
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Hey team,
I don’t want to jinx it, but the ATR model just triggered a buy signal on the daily for Bitcoin.
Historically, it’s been accurate about 86% of the time — fingers crossed this one plays out too!
2025-11-12 04:58:16 +0000 UTC
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Even spending $200K a year starting now you still cannot outrun the bag
2025-11-12 02:57:21 +0000 UTC
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This was inspired by a post I randomly saw on Twitter
So I ran some numbers on our new retirement model... PS our beta testers are on this tomorrow :D
Retire on MODEL coming to Patreon real soon
Some fun charts from the model and I only assumed a conservative 35% CAGR when in reality we are heading to 50 to 70% CAGR - and spending $100K a year indexed at 4%
HI RES IMAGES...
2025-11-12 02:47:11 +0000 UTC
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Pro Tip for Young Couples: Instead of blowing one-fifth of your lifetime earnings on a lavish wedding—like many in India do and in USA many weddings are north of $100K (a retire on bag of 300 TSLA shares) — channel that cash into smarter investments with real returns, such as buying a house, funding your kids' education, or building a solid investment portfolio. The ROI on a fancy wedding? Absolutely disastrous—it's a one-day party that evaporates faster than champagne bubbles.
Op...
2025-11-12 02:36:08 +0000 UTC
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Bitcoin hauls in $300M before BlackRock even takes the field. Happy to see this reversal.
Solana: a modest $9M.
Ethereum? Dumps $90M before BlackRock’s whistle blows.
2025-11-12 02:24:34 +0000 UTC
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Rule #89 - Your portfolio is a Mirror of your Mind
Upgrade your mind relentlessly—always read, always learn, and always anticipate the next big thing. Prepare for it, rotate your portfolio into that emerging asset class, and once it's mainstream, gear up for the one after. I also call this #ABL Always Be Learning.... do not let a day pass without learning something new.
A sharp, adaptive mind is your greatest edge in the markets. Read more than you react.
2025-11-12 00:33:31 +0000 UTC
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Live at 1:30pm Pacific: https://youtube.com/live/MXGHAZUJabU
2025-11-11 21:21:28 +0000 UTC
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