Hey everyone! Now that we are through the Sunday slate of games for week two, it’s time to vote on this week’s Film Room topic!
Linked in this post is a strawpoll that lists out the three top options for this week. Vote for your favorite option, and 24 hours from now (12PM Tuesday) the winner will be decided!
Please keep in mind that only votes in the strawpoll will be counted, not votes in the comments.
Option 1: Panthers defensive improvement
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2021-09-20 16:07:00 +0000 UTC
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Hey everyone!
I’m still on the road this week (now up in Seattle - Vegas was last week), so I will not have any film rooms dropping between now and Sunday. However, I DID have time to record a huge, nearly two-hour-long recap podcast of week one with EJ over on my second channel!
Link — https://youtu.be/QkezW6Y2dnQ
Also remember, after Sunday’s slate of games I will be...
2021-09-17 16:05:47 +0000 UTC
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I have finally reached civilization (and WiFi) again! As promised, here is version 4.0 of the PPR and Standard rankings. If possible I am going to work on a half-PPR version tonight in my hotel, but for those of you that were asking how to adjust for half-PPR I typically just use the PPR ranks, and then slightly drop slot receivers or primarily receiving backs like McKissic or Amon-Ra St. Brown that rely on receptions for a large chunk of their points (and not so much pure yardage or touchdow...
2021-09-04 00:49:31 +0000 UTC
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Hey y’all, just wanted to check in really quick for those of you that are asking and waiting very patiently for the final version of the fantasy rankings.
They are finally DONE now that I have gone through all the tape from preseason games, roster cut downs, injuries, and trade information from the last few days - but unfortunately I am currently in the middle of nowhere in northern Arizona and hunting for a place with WiFi so that I can post the excel doc from my laptop.
2021-09-03 15:00:39 +0000 UTC
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Version 3.0 of the Film Room fantasy rankings are now finally here! This week's update has a TON of movement all over the place, so you should probably throw out the two previous versions entirely.
We now have a lot more clarity on several key position battles around the league, and of course there has been some pretty impactful injury news that needed to be factored in as well (RIP Travis Etienne owners out there). It's possible that there will be another large update after week thre...
2021-08-24 21:07:18 +0000 UTC
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The standard scoring rankings are now done! In this v2 update attached below, you will find updated PPR rankings for every position, as well as the combined tiers for PPR. The standard rankings by position (and combined) are in separate tabs in the excel doc on the right hand side.
I'll have another update later this week to include defenses once I get done looking at the all-22 from week one of the preseason. Let me know if y'all have any questions!
2021-08-18 00:19:15 +0000 UTC
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Well friends, it's about that time again! I have finally finished my initial batch of fantasy rankings for all skill position groups and quarterbacks for PPR scoring formats.
Standard scoring format rankings, as well as defense and kicker rankings, will be coming along later this week (likely on Thursday) so keep an eye out for those if you play in standard leagues!
I also want to take this opportunity to say that I will be much more active on Patreon going forward. I've been t...
2021-08-10 17:44:00 +0000 UTC
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Well, here we are. After days and days of trying to figure out who to pick in possibly the most-even Super Bowl matchup in recent memory - and after switching these picks multiples times throughout the week - I think I finally have my answers. So without further adieu, here are my Super Bowl picks for the game, the spread, and the over/under.
CHIEFS @ BUCCANEERS
GAME PICK: BUCCANEERS
SPREAD PICK: BUCCANEERS (+3)
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2021-02-07 18:30:09 +0000 UTC
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BUCCANEERS @ PACKERS
GAME PICK: PACKERS
SPREAD PICK: BUCCANEERS (+4)
ANALYSIS: Even though the Packers got smacked by the Bucs the last time they played earlier in the season, I expect today to go much differently. Unlike that first matchup, Davante Adams and Allen Lazard are both fully healthy this time around, and over the course of the season the Packers have become much more adept at handling blitz-heavy...
2021-01-24 17:38:02 +0000 UTC
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RAMS @ PACKERS
GAME PICK: PACKERS
SPREAD PICK: PACKERS (-7)
ANALYSIS: I have a lot of faith in the Rams defense today - honestly, they could have a pretty good game. Jalen Ramsey has been the best corner in football this year and might be able to at least slow down Davante Adams...sort of. And on top of that, the Rams run defense is ranked third in the league by DVOA as well. This unit is p...
2021-01-16 17:15:45 +0000 UTC
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RAVENS @ TITANS
GAME PICK: RAVENS
SPREAD PICK: TITANS (+3)
ANALYSIS: I think this game could end up being the highest scoring matchup of the weekend. The Titans are dead last in passing defense DVOA and only 16th in rushing defense DVOA (hurray for average, I guess), while the Ravens defense is below average at stopping zone runs runs that cut back in either the A or B gaps (4.23 YPC allowed) - wh...
2021-01-10 16:52:07 +0000 UTC
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One of the best weeks of football in the entire calendar year is finally here...it’s Wildcard weekend! We have three great games on the docket today for the first time in league history, thanks to the new playoff seeding system. That means from 1PM until all the way to almost 9PM, we’ve got nothing but sweet, sweet playoff football to look forward to!
Here are my picks for all of today’s games. Keep in mind that some of these spreads will probably change pretty substant...
2021-01-09 08:19:03 +0000 UTC
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We are finally here! It’s week 17 - the craziest week of the regular season - and a whopping 13 of the 14 playoff teams/seeds are still unknown! The majority of games this week mean something to the various playoff races, which is great for us as fans because that means we get more entertaining games!
With the closing of the regular season, the solidifying of the first 20 picks in the draft order, and next week’s playoff matches all being decided today, I figured...
2021-01-03 16:23:59 +0000 UTC
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Thank you all for your patience with me while I finished today's Film Room episode on the state of the Jets. I published it (very) late last night at around 2:00 AM, so some of you may have seen it already. But just in case you didn't, I've posted it here!
Unfortunately I passed out last night at around 3:00 AM and didn't wake up until about a half an hour ago, so I do not have time to type up analysis for each individual game this week. But I still want to at least get my pi...
2020-12-27 16:41:53 +0000 UTC
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Some of y'all were messaging me and asking for a couple picks for today's games, as well as what my pick would have been for the Christmas game yesterday (spoiler alert, I did NOT see six Kamara touchdowns coming!).
So to oblige that request, here are my picks for the day! I hope you all had a great holiday with your families. Keep an eye out on the Film Room channel today for another episode release!
VIKINGS @ SAINTS
GAME PICK: ...
2020-12-26 16:58:13 +0000 UTC
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GAME PICK RECORD: 136-72-0
SPREAD PICK RECORD: 104-93-2 (52.8% win rate vs the spread so far. 55% is considered a top-tier hit rate, for reference)
Well well well, we have managed to string together back to back good weeks for the Patreon picks series! I went 14-2 in game picks and 10-6 against the spread last week, which is fairly good...but I'll admit it could have been a lot better were it not for some very sneaky back door covers in...
2020-12-20 15:21:34 +0000 UTC
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Now that is more like it! After a horrendous week 12 that dropped my winning percentage by a fair bit, I bounced back well in week 13 to post a 10-5 record against the spread with my picks. Let’s see if we can continue that hot streak into week 14! As always, the odds used in this post are from Bovada.
GAME PICK RECORD: 122-70-0
SPREAD PICK RECORD: 94-87-2 (51.9% win rate vs the spread so far. 55% is considered a top-tier hit rate, fo...
2020-12-13 07:57:32 +0000 UTC
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Man…I got absolutely CRUSHED last week when picking against the spread. My record was 4-11-1, which might just be one of the worst weekends I’ve ever had. Hell, just that one week dropped my entire winning percentage for the season down from a very respectable 53.6%, to a barely above water 50.6%. Hopefully I can have a big bounce back Sunday today and get back into the green!
GAME PICK RECORD: 110-67-0
SPREAD PICK RECORD: 84-82-2 (50.6% win r...
2020-12-06 08:16:00 +0000 UTC
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I hope you all had a wonderful Thanksgiving this past week! Now that we are about three quarters of the way through the season and we have a pretty good idea of how good or bad all of these teams really are (or at least as good enough of an idea as we can possibly get in a pandemic year), I figured that now is as perfect a time as any for a Patron-Only Q&A session!
Feel free to ask my anything you want about any players, teams, schemes, or even just something about the ch...
2020-11-29 15:50:13 +0000 UTC
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Welp...while I was out in LA with my wife this evening doing some photoshoots for upcoming Film Room merch releases (more on that later), my car window got smashed in and the inside of our vehicle got torn apart. Thankfully the thieves were incompetent enough that they totally missed my iPhone sitting in the rear door so they didn't grab it -- but still, as you can imagine this turned into a very, very long night for me.
Unfortunately, because of this incident I did not have time to do...
2020-11-22 07:13:42 +0000 UTC
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GAME PICK RECORD: 85-48-1
SPREAD PICK RECORD: 66-60-6 (52.4% win rate vs the spread so far. 55% is considered a top-tier hit rate, for reference)
COLTS vs TITANS
GAME PICK (from Thursday): COLTS
SPREAD PICK (from Thursday): COLTS (PK)
TEXANS vs BROWNS
GAME PICK: BROWNS
SPREAD PICK: BROWNS (-4)
2020-11-15 08:16:48 +0000 UTC
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Enjoy this week's very special (and very different) episode of The Film Room! And while you're hear, check out this week's Patron-only analysis and picks for every game this Sunday as well!
GAME PICK RECORD: 76-43-1
SPREAD PICK RECORD: 60-52-6 (53.6% win rate vs the spread so far. 55% is considered a top-tier hit rate, for reference)
PACKERS @ 49ERS (from last Thursday)
GAME PICK:
2020-11-08 11:46:32 +0000 UTC
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My apologies for getting these out so late (again). This week was pretty crazy with the evacuations from the fire, so I've been trying to play catch up at work every since I was able to come back to my house. I hope y'all have a great Sunday!!!
GAME PICK RECORD: 69-36-1
SPREAD PICK RECORD: 55-44-5 (51.6% win rate vs the spread so far. 55% is considered a top-tier hit rate, for reference)
FALCONS @ PANTHERS
2020-11-01 16:57:29 +0000 UTC
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First things first! I (finally) launched this week's film room episode after a couple of major delays during production. Hurray for having an older, unreliable PC, I guess. Oh well, at least this is a good excuse to buy some parts as an early Christmas gift to myself and build a new one!
The good news is that I was still able to get this episode on the Buccaneers defense out "on time". The bad news is that I've been awake for roughly 22 hours straight now and I'm a wee bit delirious whi...
2020-10-25 12:35:44 +0000 UTC
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GAME PICK RECORD: 51-25-1
SPREAD PICK RECORD: 41-31-5 (53.2% win rate vs the spread)
TEXANS @ TITANS
GAME PICK: TITANS
SPREAD PICK: TITANS (-3.5)
ANALYSIS: The Titans seem to have not missed a beat *at all* as they blew out the Bills, despite barely even practicing for two weeks, and they did all of that damage without even having their best defensive ...
2020-10-18 15:27:08 +0000 UTC
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Week five features a ton of hard-hitting, "meat and potatoes" kinds of games - Browns vs Colts, Seahawks vs Vikings, Bills vs Titans - my favorite type of matchups! A lot of key questions will be answered this Sunday, especially when it comes to sorting out who truly has elite offensive lines or front sevens, and who doesn't.
If you love trench warfare, this is the week for you! Now let's get into these picks, shall we?
GAME PICK RECORD: 41-21-1
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2020-10-11 07:19:15 +0000 UTC
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What's this? A picks article that's actually on time?! And with analysis for every game? Since when does Brett ever do ANYTHING on time?
I know, I know. This is a weird experience for all of us, myself included. I hope you all have a wonderful week four. I pulled my odds this week from Bovada, just so that you can reference them for yourselves. I had a strong week last week to help me make up for some of my biggest stumbles in the first couple of Sundays. If I can maintain this 55...
2020-10-03 23:12:06 +0000 UTC
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Another week, another Sunday where I'm just getting these picks in by the skin of my teeth (hurray for a lack of a true sleep schedule, I guess). I decided to change up the format for this week's Film Room a bit because I've been told that my videos where I talk directly to the audience on camera tend to be more engaging, and thus help with retaining information. How did you all feel that it came out?
Do you prefer the old style? Did you like the new one? I'm going to keep doing th...
2020-09-27 16:14:32 +0000 UTC
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It's 5:40 AM and I have yet to sleep...such is life for a sports content creator that is desperately trying to get an episode done before games kick off for the week! Unfortunately I am running on fumes at this point so I do not believe I can stay awake long enough to type out full explanations for my picks for the week, but I at least did want to drop a link to this week's (freshly released) Film Room episode, shame myself for my horrible picks record from week one, and post my raw picks for...
2020-09-20 13:46:42 +0000 UTC
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It's finally here!
Week 1 of the 2020 NFL season has at long last arrived, which means it's time for my weekly picks to return as well! This year I will give two picks for each game, the straight up winner, as well as who I am picking against the spread for each game. I will also keep track of my record throughout the year so that I can see how I did overall at the end of the regular season.
For what it's worth, on picks against the spread, if I can have a 55% hit...
2020-09-13 07:16:33 +0000 UTC
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